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Rafael expected to meander over the central Gulf over the next several days with no obvoius threat to land. #RAFAEL
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 30 (Milton) , Major: 30 (Milton) Florida - Any: 30 (Milton) Major: 30 (Milton)
25.0N 90.8W
Wind: 65MPH
Pres: 992mb
Moving:
Wnw at 6 mph
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Archives 2020s >> 2023 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open
      Fri Sep 08 2023 07:52 AM

Lee has hit a bit of shear that really wasn't shown by the models until recently, and it manifested on satellite by the eye becoming a lot less visible. it looks like it'll be a bit weaker today but has a chance to recover later tomorrow. My guess is today this size of Lee will expand and strengthening will resume tomorrow. Model confidence on a turn north is very strong, just differing on exactly when (Still well east of the Bahamas). Turn should start to be evident around 65W around Tuesday or Wednesday.

Track beyond the turn is anyone's guess as Margot will likely make it very difficult to trust.


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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open cieldumort Fri Sep 08 2023 07:52 AM
. * * Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 12 2023 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 08 2023 07:52 AM
. * * Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open cieldumort   Fri Sep 08 2023 02:27 AM
. * * Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open cieldumort   Thu Sep 07 2023 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open cieldumort   Thu Sep 07 2023 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 07 2023 07:54 PM

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