MikeC
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Re: Lee Lounge
Sat Sep 09 2023 06:46 AM
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Lee is still fighting shear this morning, but the shear starting to change direction causing a bit of a intensification run (not as extreme as Thursday, though) Recon not cutting through the center overnight because of mesovortices highlights that part oft.
Models are still pretty consistent with a right/north turn around Wednesday, and the remainder is effectively based on where the turn hits. Bermuda will see affects, but likely not the worst of it directly. The US East coast will see the large waves, but the most likely direct impact area is Atlantic Canada right now, if any. And Lee should be much weaker then. Still predicated around the turn though, so continues to be watched.
Euro misses Canada this time, but is still having issues with Margot, and completely misses trough interaction. GFS is into Atlantic Canada, so those are the two most likely scenarios at the moment. Either completely avoiding land, or Atlantic Canada. West of there should monitor, but that's, so far, what seems to be heading toward.
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