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92L now up to a 60% chance for development. Recon out there but just under the threshhold for classification, may become a TD later today.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2320
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 97L - 98L Lounge
      Mon Sep 11 2023 07:51 PM

From NHC
Quote:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

For the North Atlantic...

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity primarily to the west of its center. Development of this system is unlikely before it merges with a another area of low pressure (AL98) to its east during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
A broad area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic south of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms but environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, especially after is merges with an area of low pressure to its west (AL97). A tropical depression is likely to form from the combined system by this weekend as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Papin




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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD15 Lounge cieldumort Mon Sep 11 2023 07:51 PM
. * * Re: 97L - 98L Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 13 2023 12:38 PM
. * * Re: 97L - 98L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Sep 11 2023 07:51 PM
. * * Re: 97L - 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 12 2023 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Sat Sep 09 2023 12:27 PM

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