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Historic #HurricaneBeryl now in the Caribbean with a day or few left before shear is expected to increase. Elsewhere, Invest 96L is not doing so well.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 306 (Idalia) , Major: 306 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 306 (Idalia) Major: 306 (Idalia)
13.2N 63.2W
Wind: 150MPH
Pres: 944mb
Moving:
Wnw at 21 mph
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20.2N 97.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
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Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2339
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Sean Lounge
      Thu Oct 12 2023 05:10 PM

Sean recovered itself a bit overnight during the diurnal maximum and was back to being a tropical storm after a downgrade to TD at 11PM.

The improved organization and convection has seeemed to help the cyclone also maintain more of a northwestly track, and as such, it is even more likely that Sean never stays low enough to be a longer term threat to the Caribbean and/or CONUS. In fact, models incresaingly dissipate Sean in the face of the present difficult shear, and increasing dry air that waits ahead, within 72 hours.

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* Sean Lounge cieldumort Thu Oct 12 2023 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Sean Lounge cieldumort   Thu Oct 12 2023 05:10 PM

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