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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
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Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 95L Lounge
      Sun Oct 22 2023 03:27 AM

The Caribbean Low we have been tracking is now Invest 95L as of 1PM CDT Oct 22nd, with an initial position at 11.3N 81.4W and an intensity of 30 KTS.

Some 0z model summaries

GFS - Apparent TD or weak TS by tonight while roughly 120 miles east of southern Nicaragua with a landfall overnight Monday in northeastern Nicaragua as a modest tropical storm, then crawls northwestward while inland towards Belize, where it appears to wash out.

ICON - Seems to maintain the system as a weak low in the extreme southern-southwestern Caribbean, possibly at times crossing over to the East Pac side.

GEM - Apparent TD or weak TS by tonight while roughly 130 miles east of Reserva Biológica Indio Maíz, Nicaragua, with a landfall Monday night as a modest tropical storm on central Nicaragua, then lingers over central America for several days as a decaying TC before merging with an East Pac system Friday.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 21L Lounge cieldumort Sun Oct 22 2023 03:27 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 23 2023 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 22 2023 03:27 AM
. * * Re: South Caribbean Low cieldumort   Sat Oct 21 2023 07:08 PM
. * * Re: South Caribbean Low cieldumort   Sat Oct 21 2023 12:48 PM

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