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Gulf of Mexico Invest #92L now 80% NHC odds of development. Advisories could begin as soon as today or Sunday. #Flwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Helene) , Major: 8 (Helene) Florida - Any: 8 (Helene) Major: 8 (Helene)
Hur Kirk
ADV#23 11:00 pm EDT
25.0N 49.8W
Wind: 130MPH
Pres: 943mb
Moving:
Nnw at 13 mph
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TS Leslie
ADV#10 5:00 pm EDT
10.3N 33.6W
Wind: 70MPH
Pres: 993mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2430
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 95L Lounge
      Sun Oct 22 2023 03:27 AM

The Caribbean Low we have been tracking is now Invest 95L as of 1PM CDT Oct 22nd, with an initial position at 11.3N 81.4W and an intensity of 30 KTS.

Some 0z model summaries

GFS - Apparent TD or weak TS by tonight while roughly 120 miles east of southern Nicaragua with a landfall overnight Monday in northeastern Nicaragua as a modest tropical storm, then crawls northwestward while inland towards Belize, where it appears to wash out.

ICON - Seems to maintain the system as a weak low in the extreme southern-southwestern Caribbean, possibly at times crossing over to the East Pac side.

GEM - Apparent TD or weak TS by tonight while roughly 130 miles east of Reserva Biológica Indio Maíz, Nicaragua, with a landfall Monday night as a modest tropical storm on central Nicaragua, then lingers over central America for several days as a decaying TC before merging with an East Pac system Friday.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 21L Lounge cieldumort Sun Oct 22 2023 03:27 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 23 2023 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 22 2023 03:27 AM
. * * Re: South Caribbean Low cieldumort   Sat Oct 21 2023 07:08 PM
. * * Re: South Caribbean Low cieldumort   Sat Oct 21 2023 12:48 PM

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