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Historic #HurricaneBeryl is now also the earliest #Cat 5 Hurricane in the Atlantic basin in recorded history
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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Reged:
Posts: 2341
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: GFS long range forecast
      Sat Jun 08 2024 02:41 PM

Central American Gyre is now evident and some other models are coming on board with initiation in the region about that time.

If conditions allow, a spin-off TC would become better organized, but most model members calling for development are also forecasting something of a wet and sloppy, which would be typical this time of year.

We should have a clearer picture by early to mid next week. At present, NHC isn't even outlining a low probability in their 7 day outlook, but it wouldn't surprise to see that change.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 90L Ken S. Sat Jun 08 2024 02:41 PM
. * * Re: 90L cieldumort   Tue Jun 11 2024 09:46 PM
. * * Re: 90L JMII   Tue Jun 11 2024 10:05 PM
. * * Re: 90L JMII   Wed Jun 12 2024 11:45 AM
. * * Re: 90L IsoFlame   Wed Jun 12 2024 11:40 AM
. * * Re: GFS long range forecast cieldumort   Sat Jun 08 2024 02:41 PM
. * * Re: GFS long range forecast JMII   Tue Jun 11 2024 09:27 AM
. * * Re: GFS long range forecast MichaelA   Tue Jun 11 2024 09:00 PM

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