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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Beryl Lounge
      Sun Jun 30 2024 02:52 AM

Longer range, model track forecasts for Beryl continue a trend that bends poleward towards the US, mostly Texas, for now. The way they arrive at this looks very plausible.

In the immediate to near term, Beryl continues to RI and may quite possibly make a run for Cat 5 within the next 72 hours. An intensifying hurricane and already Major as it passes through the Windwards, is almost certain. Given that Beryl is a smaller-size tropical cyclone with an increasingly tight inner core, recon data will prove invaluable in determining how dire the situation may be for one or more islands.

Flying a bit blind without any recon missions so far, but my updated lifetime max intensity probs for Beryl are easy enough to put out there with what is already known:

Cat 1 (Presently) 2%
Cat 2: 6%
Cat 3: 17%
Cat 4: 38%
Cat 5: 37%

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Beryl Lounge cieldumort Sun Jun 30 2024 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jul 07 2024 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Sun Jul 07 2024 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jul 07 2024 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 07 2024 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Mon Jul 08 2024 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jul 05 2024 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jul 05 2024 05:03 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jul 05 2024 02:51 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 02 2024 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge Bloodstar   Wed Jul 03 2024 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Wed Jul 03 2024 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MichaelA   Wed Jul 03 2024 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jun 30 2024 03:58 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 30 2024 06:31 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Sun Jun 30 2024 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jun 30 2024 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jun 29 2024 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jun 29 2024 04:24 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 29 2024 09:40 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 28 2024 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 27 2024 07:36 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 27 2024 04:51 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 27 2024 06:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 27 2024 04:17 AM

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