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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
 


General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge

JMII
Weather Master


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Posts: 546
Loc: Margate, Florida
Re: Beryl Lounge
      Sun Jul 07 2024 04:17 PM

Quote:

and brings Beryl ashore as just about Major. The other vort-centric runs (hurricane models) are mostly around high-end TS/low-end Cat 1.




I think it will be in the low to mid Cat 1 range. Its still only a TS and flight recon doesn't show any symmetry but pressure has started dropping. No solid wrap around or eye wall yet on radar. Several models had it reaching hurricane status by this time but its been lagging behind compared to its previous over performing status. It only has around 12-16 hours before landfall to get itself together, thus a run to Cat 2/3 seems highly unlikely with land interaction becoming a factor. Its currently tracking right on top of the NHC centerline.

--------------------
South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for:
David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Beryl Lounge cieldumort Sun Jul 07 2024 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jul 07 2024 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Sun Jul 07 2024 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jul 07 2024 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 07 2024 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Mon Jul 08 2024 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jul 05 2024 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jul 05 2024 05:03 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jul 05 2024 02:51 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 02 2024 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge Bloodstar   Wed Jul 03 2024 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Wed Jul 03 2024 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MichaelA   Wed Jul 03 2024 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jun 30 2024 03:58 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 30 2024 06:31 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Sun Jun 30 2024 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jun 30 2024 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jun 29 2024 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jun 29 2024 04:24 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 29 2024 09:40 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 28 2024 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 27 2024 07:36 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 27 2024 04:51 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 27 2024 06:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 27 2024 04:17 AM

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