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Modeled CAG/TC next week with now 40% NHC odds within 7 days. Model-implied 80% odds within 10 days. Entire NW Carib & Gulf should monitor.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 7 (Francine) , Major: 386 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 45 (Debby) Major: 386 (Idalia)
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Posts: 163
Loc: East Central Florida
Re: Invest 97L Lounge
      Thu Aug 01 2024 03:13 PM

Afternoon models, 12z GFS goes into Cedar key, crosses into Altantic then gets to Morehead City as a hurricane and goes over the NC OBX Sounds

12Z Euro stays relatively weak goes across N Florida Monday then hangs out along the Georgia and extreme SC Coastlines (on and off land) for the rest of the run.

GFS Ensembles are flat spider with stalls over florida, gulf, Atlantic, and more.

Lots of uncertainty with it.

Hurricane models didn't initalize very well for 12z, but show Panhandle landfalls, (Except HAFS A which is totally lost)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Debby Lounge MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 01 2024 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Debby Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 04 2024 04:15 AM
. * * Re: Debby Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Aug 04 2024 04:57 AM
. * * Re: Debby Lounge JMII   Sun Aug 04 2024 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Debby Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Aug 04 2024 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Debby Lounge Owlguin   Sun Aug 04 2024 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Debby Lounge JMII   Sun Aug 04 2024 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Debby Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 04 2024 11:45 PM
. * * Re: Debby Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Aug 04 2024 08:15 PM
. * * Re: FOUR Lounge cieldumort   Fri Aug 02 2024 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Island Wave Area Lounge cieldumort   Thu Aug 01 2024 04:26 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean Island Wave Area Lounge MichaelA   Thu Aug 01 2024 08:01 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge bob3d   Thu Aug 01 2024 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Aug 01 2024 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 01 2024 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge bob3d   Thu Aug 01 2024 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 01 2024 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Aug 02 2024 06:41 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 02 2024 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge JMII   Fri Aug 02 2024 08:51 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Fri Aug 02 2024 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Aug 02 2024 04:23 PM
. * * Re: PTC4 Lounge bob3d   Fri Aug 02 2024 04:52 PM
. * * Re: PTC4 Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 02 2024 10:18 PM
. * * Re: PTC4 Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 02 2024 11:29 PM
. * * Re: PTC4 Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Aug 03 2024 06:20 AM
. * * Re: PTC4 Lounge JMII   Sat Aug 03 2024 11:09 AM
. * * Re: PTC4 Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Aug 03 2024 04:13 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge JMII   Thu Aug 01 2024 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Thu Aug 01 2024 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Island Wave Area Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Wed Jul 31 2024 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Island Wave Area Lounge JMII   Wed Jul 31 2024 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Island Wave Area Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Wed Jul 31 2024 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Island Wave Area Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 31 2024 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Island Wave Area Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 31 2024 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Island Wave Area Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 01 2024 01:30 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 30 2024 02:51 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 30 2024 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Tue Jul 30 2024 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Jul 30 2024 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 30 2024 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Jul 31 2024 07:46 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge cieldumort   Mon Jul 29 2024 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 29 2024 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jul 28 2024 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 28 2024 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Area Lounge bob3d   Mon Jul 29 2024 12:41 PM

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