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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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Kraig
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 86
Loc: Jupiter, Fl
Re: PTC FOUR
      Sun Aug 04 2024 06:21 PM

Quote:

Calling it a ' Strong' Hurricane is unnerving.

Are we talking still int he Probability Corridor of High Trop Storm, low Cat I? or are we now talking into the ' Major' Status that the NHC Terminology would usualy indicate?

I ask because the window to evacuate is closing rapidly and I would rather only move ( currently in Tallahassee Proper) If the probabilty that this could be as bad as Idalia, or the like was signifigant.



Per the 5pm discussion, NHC currently has it offshore at 2am with 85mph sustained and 105mph gusts and "given the favorable oceanic and shear
conditions, significant strengthening is expected before landfall. Rapid intensification is especially likely if Debby acquires a
well-defined inner core."

* A strengthening system poses more threats than a weakening system like Idalia. Idalia, while the NHC classified as a major cat 3 at landfall, did not register surface winds above TS force at or after landfall.

* Tally is inland and on the weak side of the proposed track, From my recollection, Tally did not receive any severe weather with Idalia.

* If you have the basic prep (water, nonperishable food, in a house not a trailer, etc) stay in your home and off the roads....good luck!

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Debby cieldumort Sun Aug 04 2024 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Debby MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 11 2024 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Debby MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 07 2024 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Debby MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 05 2024 06:21 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Debby MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 04 2024 11:10 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR Kraig   Sun Aug 04 2024 06:21 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR Bill_hawe   Sun Aug 04 2024 06:01 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR Marknole   Sun Aug 04 2024 02:17 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 04 2024 08:33 AM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 03 2024 11:19 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 03 2024 10:31 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR cieldumort   Sat Aug 03 2024 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Debby Forms North of Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 03 2024 07:09 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 03 2024 06:49 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR CFHCAdministrator   Fri Aug 02 2024 02:14 PM

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