Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


A small window of development from a non-tropical low way out in the Atlantic is being monitored for ships and fish.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 73 (Milton) , Major: 73 (Milton) Florida - Any: 73 (Milton) Major: 73 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Ernesto Lounge
      Fri Aug 09 2024 02:15 AM




Modeling continues to point to improving background conditions for development as we head towards the climatological peak, and a tropical wave located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verdes increasingly looks likely to become our next Invest and potentially also named storm.

Steering currents favor a track that would take this system, developed or not, towards the Greater Antilles and Bahamas, then depending on how well formed it is as well as how much high pressure to its north is built in, may ultimately pose a threat to the CONUS and/or Bermuda and/or Canada. Despite the fact that there is nothing here more than a wave at this time, given that models nearly unanimously develop this feature and suggest it poses a threat to land, we are starting a Lounge at this time.

NHC odds for development as of this post are 0% within 48 hours and 50% within 7 days.

As noted, this wave is not yet Invest-tagged, but any status changes will be updated to the title as warranted.


As of 2024-08-10-0Z this wave is now being tracked as an Invest (98L) and the title has been updated accordingly
Ciel

Edited by MikeC (Mon Aug 12 2024 03:31 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ernesto Lounge cieldumort Fri Aug 09 2024 02:15 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Lounge cieldumort   Mon Aug 12 2024 10:13 PM
. * * Center reformation Robert   Tue Aug 13 2024 10:26 AM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave IsoFlame   Fri Aug 09 2024 09:26 AM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave bob3d   Fri Aug 09 2024 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave IdaliaJackson   Sat Aug 10 2024 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 11 2024 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave IsoFlame   Sun Aug 11 2024 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave CFHCAdministrator   Fri Aug 09 2024 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 10 2024 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 10 2024 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Next MDR Wave IsoFlame   Sat Aug 10 2024 07:10 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 5 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 4381

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center