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Bertha pushing into east Texas. Heavy rain and strong thunderstorms occuring near, along and offshore of central to southeast TX.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 652 (Milton), US Major: 652 (Milton), FL Any: 652 (Milton), FL Major: 652 (Milton)

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Archives 2020s >> 2024 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2733
Loc: Austin, Tx

Sep 7 92L
Sat Sep 07 2024 02:28 PM

Above: Central Atlantic Tropical Low Invest TBD

An area of formerly very elongated low pressure in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic well east of the Antilles has continued to consolidate and as of this afternoon has begun to take on a much more upright cylindrical look, classic of the very early stages of development into a tropical cyclone. This feature has increasing model support to potentially become the first serious TC born out of the MDR since record-setting Beryl back in June, and we are starting a Lounge on it at this time.

While this Low is not yet Invest-tagged it could easily be tagged later today or tomorrow, and the title will be updated accordingly. NHC development odds within 7 days are presently 40% and this could be conservative.

More details to come

This tropical low has been Invest-tagged this evening, 92L, and the title has been updated accordingly.
2024-09-08 00:00 12.7 -42.4 25
Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Sep 20 2024 02:42 PM)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Sep 7 92L	cieldumort	Sat Sep 07 2024 02:28 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Low	cieldumort	Sat Sep 07 2024 09:17 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Low	IsoFlame	Wed Sep 11 2024 10:06 AM

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