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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 


General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 97L NW Caribbean/Gulf
      Mon Sep 23 2024 02:20 AM

There is arguably a little more westerly shear than analyzed by CIMSS impinging on 97L tonight. This shear may indeed be getting enhanced from the outflow of now Tropical Storm John, which by many measures, could already be a 40-50 knot storm.

What using standard IR imagery might look like the "outer center" of 97L is really nothing more than a line of thunderstorms associated with what is probably its mid-level low, that has actually been getting bowed out towards the east.

Nonetheless, this near-term impediment may not last. East Pac Tropical Storm John looks like it could end up staying far enough west to have only minimal, temporary and/or transient negative impacts on 97L's future intensity. Ideally we will get recon passes into both systems later today or at latest tomorrow (Tuesday) and have a much clearer picture of this interaction.







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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Helene Lounge cieldumort Mon Sep 23 2024 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 25 2024 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 25 2024 10:05 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 25 2024 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 25 2024 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 25 2024 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 25 2024 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Sep 26 2024 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 26 2024 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 26 2024 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 26 2024 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 26 2024 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 26 2024 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 26 2024 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 26 2024 12:21 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 26 2024 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge JumadukeFL   Thu Sep 26 2024 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge FlYankee   Thu Sep 26 2024 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 26 2024 06:34 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 26 2024 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 27 2024 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 26 2024 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 26 2024 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 26 2024 09:49 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 26 2024 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 25 2024 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Helene Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 24 2024 07:29 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 24 2024 02:03 AM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 24 2024 10:33 AM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Tue Sep 24 2024 03:25 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 24 2024 05:21 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 24 2024 05:47 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 25 2024 08:37 AM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Wed Sep 25 2024 09:01 AM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Tue Sep 24 2024 05:36 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 24 2024 04:19 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge JumadukeFL   Tue Sep 24 2024 04:34 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Mon Sep 23 2024 02:44 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge Bloodstar   Mon Sep 23 2024 03:43 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Mon Sep 23 2024 07:13 PM
. * * Re: NINE Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 23 2024 11:21 PM
. * * Re: 97L NW Caribbean/Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 23 2024 06:33 AM
. * * Re: 97L NW Caribbean/Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 23 2024 07:40 AM
. * * Re: 97L NW Caribbean/Gulf bob3d   Mon Sep 23 2024 09:56 AM
. * * Re: 97L NW Caribbean/Gulf IsoFlame   Mon Sep 23 2024 12:06 PM
. * * Re: 97L NW Caribbean/Gulf cieldumort   Mon Sep 23 2024 02:20 AM
. * * Re: 97L NW Caribbean/Gulf cieldumort   Sun Sep 22 2024 09:52 PM
. * * Re: 97L NW Caribbean/Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 23 2024 12:16 AM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 22 2024 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC IsoFlame   Sun Sep 22 2024 07:47 AM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC bob3d   Sun Sep 22 2024 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 22 2024 06:24 PM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC IsoFlame   Sun Sep 22 2024 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 22 2024 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC IdaliaJackson   Sat Sep 21 2024 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC cieldumort   Fri Sep 20 2024 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC cieldumort   Thu Sep 19 2024 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC cieldumort   Thu Sep 19 2024 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC cieldumort   Thu Sep 19 2024 01:17 AM

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