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Clean up and rescue operations in the wake of major hurricanes Milton and Helene continue. No new threatening storms on the immediate horizon.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 6 (Milton) , Major: 6 (Milton) Florida - Any: 6 (Milton) Major: 6 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2473
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Milton Lounge
      Tue Oct 08 2024 03:56 PM

A lot of 18z guidance is shifting a bit south.

There has been a trend for Milton all along to veer south-of-forecast with intensification phases. The hurricane is very likely now Cat 5 again (awaiting new recon mission to confirm, but easily 160+ MPH based on satellite).

A track further south overall could

Keep it over the Loop Current for longer (Higher octane fuel)
Prevent it from interacting with as much detrimental shear, perhaps by a lot
Have significant implications for which locations get the very worst of the worst
Raise Saffir-Simpson intensity into landfall (Cat 4 and 5 could both be on the table)
Delay extra-tropical transition, resulting in more of a classic hurricane for longer (vs "half-a-cane" look as seen on some models)

There is a system off to Milton's north to northeast ~ frontal with frontal lows ~ this/these could still create some lowering of pressures to Milton's north and northeast, drawing Milton to the north, but more and more so today, that area of disturbed weather is attempting to congeal into a sub-tropical storm off the east coast of Florida (heading east), and this prior source of pull to the north may be easing.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Milton Lounge cieldumort Tue Oct 08 2024 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Rhino7170   Wed Oct 09 2024 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Rhino7170   Wed Oct 09 2024 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 08:34 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Rhino7170   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Wed Oct 09 2024 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Wed Oct 09 2024 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Thu Oct 10 2024 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:06 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 08 2024 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Tue Oct 08 2024 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 09 2024 05:40 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:46 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 09 2024 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Wed Oct 09 2024 07:41 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Wed Oct 09 2024 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge vineyardsaker   Tue Oct 08 2024 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 08 2024 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge kellyr   Tue Oct 08 2024 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 07:05 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 08 2024 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 08 2024 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge chase 22   Tue Oct 08 2024 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TheQueensBarge   Tue Oct 08 2024 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Mon Oct 07 2024 10:24 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Psyber   Mon Oct 07 2024 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Oct 08 2024 08:08 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Bloodstar   Tue Oct 08 2024 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Oct 08 2024 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Tue Oct 08 2024 12:47 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 08 2024 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Owlguin   Tue Oct 08 2024 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Tue Oct 08 2024 12:18 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Oct 08 2024 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Bloodstar   Tue Oct 08 2024 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Oct 08 2024 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Lautermilch   Tue Oct 08 2024 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 07:48 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Rhino7170   Tue Oct 08 2024 12:25 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MichaelA   Mon Oct 07 2024 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Mon Oct 07 2024 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Psyber   Mon Oct 07 2024 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 06 2024 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Oct 06 2024 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 06 2024 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Sun Oct 06 2024 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 06 2024 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Sun Oct 06 2024 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Sun Oct 06 2024 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge criscr0smind   Sun Oct 06 2024 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2024 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2024 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Oct 06 2024 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Sun Oct 06 2024 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Mon Oct 07 2024 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Oct 07 2024 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Mon Oct 07 2024 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Oct 07 2024 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Mon Oct 07 2024 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:42 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Oct 06 2024 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Oct 06 2024 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Sun Oct 06 2024 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 06 2024 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Sun Oct 06 2024 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2024 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 11:08 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Oct 06 2024 06:39 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2024 07:08 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Sun Oct 06 2024 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Sun Oct 06 2024 09:01 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Oct 05 2024 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Sat Oct 05 2024 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Sat Oct 05 2024 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Sat Oct 05 2024 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Sat Oct 05 2024 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L cieldumort   Fri Oct 04 2024 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L JMII   Sat Oct 05 2024 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L IsoFlame   Sat Oct 05 2024 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L MikeCAdministrator   Sat Oct 05 2024 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L bob3d   Sat Oct 05 2024 12:03 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L OrlandoDan   Sat Oct 05 2024 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L cieldumort   Fri Oct 04 2024 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L MichaelA   Fri Oct 04 2024 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof cieldumort   Sat Sep 28 2024 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof JMII   Mon Sep 30 2024 07:03 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof bob3d   Mon Sep 30 2024 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof JMII   Tue Oct 01 2024 06:43 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof Owlguin   Fri Oct 04 2024 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof IsoFlame   Fri Oct 04 2024 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof Lamar-Plant City   Fri Oct 04 2024 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof JMII   Fri Oct 04 2024 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof JumadukeFL   Sat Oct 05 2024 08:51 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 28 2024 10:44 AM

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