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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 55 (Milton) , Major: 55 (Milton) Florida - Any: 55 (Milton) Major: 55 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Oscar Lounge
      Sun Oct 13 2024 06:12 PM



A dry but well defined area of low pressure in the eastern Tropical Atlantic is unlikely to cook up much organized deep convection over the next few days as it tracks generally west, but has increasing model support to encounter less hostile to even favorable conditions for development once approaching, near or over the Antilles, and given that such a scenario could place many islands in play for a tropical cyclone, we are starting a lounge on this feature at this time.

The Low has already been Invest tagged 94L, and to prevent confusion with last month's 94L, the title is "October 94L Lounge."

NHC development odds at the time of this original post are an almost nonexistent 10% within 48 hours, but ramps up to 40% within 7 days.

More details to come


94L developed a well-defined circulation overnight and this morning with better measurements has been confirmed to have become Tropical Storm Oscar. The title has been updated accordingly 10-19-24
Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Sat Oct 19 2024 10:48 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Oscar Lounge cieldumort Sun Oct 13 2024 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Oscar Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 19 2024 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Oscar Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 19 2024 07:29 PM
. * * Re: October 94L Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 19 2024 12:47 AM
. * * Re: October 94L Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 19 2024 12:55 PM
. * * Re: October 94L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 14 2024 11:22 PM
. * * Re: October 94L Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 15 2024 11:41 AM

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