Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
290 (Idalia)
, Major:
290 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 290 (Idalia)
Major:
290 (Idalia)
interresting to see the GFDL holds the system together as it heads NE across Florida, Alabama, South Carolina, and North Carolina to emerge off the coast near the NC / VA border as a 78 kt system, then deepens it again as it heads over the Atlantic. I dont think we will see development on the scale that this model is indicating, but development in to a TD then a TS, possibly a strong TS is quite possible once conditions approve. Also interesting to note that the surface pressures are begining to drop across the region.
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