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Archives 2020s >> 2024 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2860
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: October 94L Lounge
Sat Oct 19 2024 12:47 AM

Invest 94L is approaching the southeastern Bahamas and looking yet again a bit more organized this late Friday night. Several models, including the ECMWF, have been insistent on this becoming a TC by Sunday, and it is in a favorable environment of light shear and sufficient moisture to pull this off.

Intensity-wise, given its relatively small size and favorable environment, if a TC has indeed already formed or soon does form (a little difficult to discern without much in the way of reporting stations out over this part of the ocean - and also given that all recon missions scheduled for it on Friday got scrubbed), 94L has potential to surprise on the upside.

NHC development odds as of 8PM EDT Friday Oct 18 were 30% within 48 hours, which will probably be going up in short order.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Oscar Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Oct 19 2024 12:47 AM
Re: Oscar Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Oct 19 2024 09:18 PM
Re: Oscar Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Oct 19 2024 07:29 PM
Re: October 94L Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Oct 19 2024 12:47 AM
Re: October 94L Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Oct 19 2024 12:55 PM
Re: October 94L Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Oct 14 2024 11:22 PM
Re: October 94L Lounge	JMII	Tue Oct 15 2024 11:41 AM

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