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Watching a 20% area in the east Antialnic. Conditions ahead of it are not very condusive for development. Right now, odds keep it likely weak/no development and it curves east of Bermuda.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 323 (Milton) , Major: 323 (Milton) Florida - Any: 323 (Milton) Major: 323 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Chantal Lounge
      Sun Jun 29 2025 12:49 PM

A majority of global model runs are now latching on to the potential for a home-grown system along an old frontal boundary somewhere in the vicinity of either side of Florida later in the new week and into the July 4th weekend, and given such a strong signal this far ahead and the implications of impactful weather in the region over the holiday, we are starting a lounge on this yet still unformed system at this time.


The weak surface trof (remnants of a stalling frontal boundary) off the east coast of Florida has been Invest tagged 92L on 07/04/0z, and we have updated the title accordingly.

Invest 92L was confirmed by recon during the afternoon of July 4 to have become a Tropical Cyclone, our third of this season, and also our third back-to-back Invests that went on to undergo TC Genesis, which is noteworthy. The title has been updated accordingly. 7/4/25/5PM.

THREE become Chantal the morning of July 5 and the title has been updated accordingly
Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Sat Jul 05 2025 12:25 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Chantal Lounge cieldumort Sun Jun 29 2025 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Chantal Lounge bob3d   Sat Jul 05 2025 06:33 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge (SE Coastal Trof) cieldumort   Fri Jul 04 2025 02:03 PM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 29 2025 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend CFHCAdministrator   Mon Jun 30 2025 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2025 02:51 AM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2025 07:35 AM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2025 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend CFHCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2025 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2025 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend IsoFlame   Fri Jul 04 2025 10:08 AM

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