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Southwest Gulf Invest 92L now NHC 80% odds of development and rising. Recon being prepared. More details in Lounge.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 726 (Milton), US Major: 726 (Milton), FL Any: 726 (Milton), FL Major: 726 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
94L Lounge
      Tue Aug 11 2026 09:20 PM


Above: Invest 92L and to the east of 92L, the next wave to have rolled off Africa. Base satellite map credit: Weathernerds.org

Another very stout wave, and one already associated with deep convection, is now being monitored by NHC with an opening bid of 20%, which could be conservative. Model runs strongly suggest that if it becomes stronger, sooner, a recurve that could put Bermuda in play looks very possible. On the other hand, model runs that suggest it develops but stays on the relatively weaker side, interests in and around the eastern Caribbean may see impacts. Considering the sudden bloom of TCs across both basins and improving conditions for additional development in the Atlantic, we are already giving this feature close attention and starting a Forecast Lounge on it now. Invest TBD.

It would not be surprising to see this feature get Invest tagged as soon as within the next 24 hours.

The convectively active wave located east of 92L has been Invest-tagged, 94L, and the title has been updated accordingly.
2026-08-13 00:00 10.3N 24.8W 25KTS
Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Wed Aug 12 2026 09:17 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 94L Lounge cieldumortModerator Tue Aug 11 2026 09:20 PM
. * * Re: 94L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Aug 16 2026 02:18 PM
. * * Re: 94L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 14 2026 02:53 AM
. * * Re: New East ATL Wave Invest TBD cieldumortModerator   Wed Aug 12 2026 02:18 AM
. * * Re: New East ATL Wave Invest TBD cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 11 2026 11:26 PM

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