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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 605 (Milton), US Major: 605 (Milton), FL Any: 605 (Milton), FL Major: 605 (Milton)
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CFHCAdministrator



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Posts: 200
Loc: East Central Florida
Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone
      Fri Jul 12 2002 11:13 AM

The latest system is a goner, a victim of the Gulf's current state, whicih is the no Spin Zone.

It's just not going to happen, the last system had a fairly good chance of forming, but didn't to a variety of factors. Elsewhere, there isn't much going on. It is my guestimate date for first storm of the season (Predictions were made in this thread) of July 12th.

The upper level lows in the area have caused it to be an unhealthy environment for tropical systems. It could change later, so just because it is quiet now does not mean anything for the future of this season.

Anyone want to make updated guesses as to when the first storm of the season will be?

My new guess is August 8th, at 11AM.

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Even more on the links page.

- [mac]

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone CFHCAdministrator Fri Jul 12 2002 11:13 AM
. * * Tropicaal disturbance statement Alex K   Sun Jul 14 2002 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropicaal disturbance statement Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:04 PM
. * * Atlantic troy2   Sat Jul 13 2002 06:31 PM
. * * bill/1984 Anonymous (HF)   Sat Jul 13 2002 06:38 PM
. * * Re: bill/1984 Steve   Sat Jul 13 2002 08:10 PM
. * * T.D 1 Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 11:42 AM
. * * Re: T.D 1 Anonymous   Sun Jul 14 2002 02:21 PM
. * * 96L continues.. Anonymous (HF)   Sun Jul 14 2002 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous   Sat Jul 13 2002 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone BabyCat   Fri Jul 12 2002 07:38 PM
. * * date Anonymous (HF)   Fri Jul 12 2002 11:32 PM
. * * Re: date Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Jul 12 2002 11:44 PM
. * * Re: date Steve   Sat Jul 13 2002 03:02 AM
. * * Re: date Matthew   Sat Jul 13 2002 03:56 AM
. * * NO SPIN Rad   Sat Jul 13 2002 05:18 AM
. * * are low is making a came back Anonymous   Sat Jul 13 2002 10:15 AM
. * * Florida Rain Joe   Sat Jul 13 2002 10:33 AM
. * * ne gomex Anonymous (HF)   Sat Jul 13 2002 12:50 PM
. * * Re: ne gomex Anonymous   Sat Jul 13 2002 04:20 PM
. * * tropical wave at 55 west Matthew   Sat Jul 13 2002 11:35 AM
. * * Re: tropical wave at 55 west Anonymous   Sat Jul 13 2002 11:36 AM
. * * tropical wave at 55 west Matthew   Sat Jul 13 2002 11:33 AM
. * * Re: tropical wave at 55 west Hurric   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:34 PM
. * * first t.d forms Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:47 PM
. * * Re: tropical wave at 55 west Hurric   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:28 PM
. * * Re: tropical wave at 55 west Anonymous   Sun Jul 14 2002 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous   Fri Jul 12 2002 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Kimmie   Fri Jul 12 2002 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Jeanine   Fri Jul 12 2002 06:26 PM
. * * Possible Relocation Rich B   Fri Jul 12 2002 06:48 PM
. * * First storm date...my guess. Kevin   Fri Jul 12 2002 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Alex k   Fri Jul 12 2002 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous   Fri Jul 12 2002 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Joe   Fri Jul 12 2002 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous(Carl)   Fri Jul 12 2002 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Joe   Fri Jul 12 2002 02:07 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Kimmie   Fri Jul 12 2002 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous-Doug   Fri Jul 12 2002 12:15 PM
. * * GOM Convection Rich B   Fri Jul 12 2002 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Joe   Fri Jul 12 2002 01:36 PM
. * * new guess GaryC   Fri Jul 12 2002 11:32 AM

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