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#Beryl on track to become a Major while crossing or near the Windwards. Low behind it now Invest #96L with 70% odds. #94L in Bay of Campeche as well. What month is this?
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#7 5:00 am EDT
10.7N 53.1W
Wind: 100MPH
Pres: 981mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Kevin
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
First storm date...my guess.
      Fri Jul 12 2002 05:55 PM

I'll go with August 5th, 5 PM. Just a guess.
The tropics: It appears that our GOMEX system isn't quite done yet. The thunderstorm activity has become rather concentrated and intense today, but a true closed LLC remains to be found. I'm not giving up on it yet (I'm not giving up because the longwave hasn't sucked it north and east yet, plus the circ. could reform further south and west). It's not over until the fat lady signs.

There's also a wave near Puerto Rico, but further investigation indicates that all of the shower and limited thunderstorm activity is to the east of the wave, a sign of westerly sheer. I have noticed that these have been making it further west lately, and looking better and better while they're doing it. It may bear watching as it nears the western Caribbean, if it makes it there. It could also wind up out to sea because the trough to the north is semi-influencing it.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone CFHCAdministrator Fri Jul 12 2002 05:55 PM
. * * Tropicaal disturbance statement Alex K   Sun Jul 14 2002 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropicaal disturbance statement Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:04 PM
. * * Atlantic troy2   Sat Jul 13 2002 06:31 PM
. * * bill/1984 Anonymous (HF)   Sat Jul 13 2002 06:38 PM
. * * Re: bill/1984 Steve   Sat Jul 13 2002 08:10 PM
. * * T.D 1 Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 11:42 AM
. * * Re: T.D 1 Anonymous   Sun Jul 14 2002 02:21 PM
. * * 96L continues.. Anonymous (HF)   Sun Jul 14 2002 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous   Sat Jul 13 2002 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone BabyCat   Fri Jul 12 2002 07:38 PM
. * * date Anonymous (HF)   Fri Jul 12 2002 11:32 PM
. * * Re: date Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Jul 12 2002 11:44 PM
. * * Re: date Steve   Sat Jul 13 2002 03:02 AM
. * * Re: date Matthew   Sat Jul 13 2002 03:56 AM
. * * NO SPIN Rad   Sat Jul 13 2002 05:18 AM
. * * are low is making a came back Anonymous   Sat Jul 13 2002 10:15 AM
. * * Florida Rain Joe   Sat Jul 13 2002 10:33 AM
. * * ne gomex Anonymous (HF)   Sat Jul 13 2002 12:50 PM
. * * Re: ne gomex Anonymous   Sat Jul 13 2002 04:20 PM
. * * tropical wave at 55 west Matthew   Sat Jul 13 2002 11:35 AM
. * * Re: tropical wave at 55 west Anonymous   Sat Jul 13 2002 11:36 AM
. * * tropical wave at 55 west Matthew   Sat Jul 13 2002 11:33 AM
. * * Re: tropical wave at 55 west Hurric   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:34 PM
. * * first t.d forms Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:47 PM
. * * Re: tropical wave at 55 west Hurric   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:28 PM
. * * Re: tropical wave at 55 west Anonymous   Sun Jul 14 2002 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous   Fri Jul 12 2002 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Kimmie   Fri Jul 12 2002 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Jeanine   Fri Jul 12 2002 06:26 PM
. * * Possible Relocation Rich B   Fri Jul 12 2002 06:48 PM
. * * First storm date...my guess. Kevin   Fri Jul 12 2002 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Alex k   Fri Jul 12 2002 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous   Fri Jul 12 2002 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Joe   Fri Jul 12 2002 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous(Carl)   Fri Jul 12 2002 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Joe   Fri Jul 12 2002 02:07 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Kimmie   Fri Jul 12 2002 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Anonymous-Doug   Fri Jul 12 2002 12:15 PM
. * * GOM Convection Rich B   Fri Jul 12 2002 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico... Tonight on the No Spin Zone Joe   Fri Jul 12 2002 01:36 PM
. * * new guess GaryC   Fri Jul 12 2002 11:32 AM

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