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#Beryl on track to become a Major while crossing or near the Windwards. Low behind it now Invest #96L with 70% odds. #94L in Bay of Campeche as well. What month is this?
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#7 5:00 am EDT
10.7N 53.1W
Wind: 100MPH
Pres: 981mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Rich B
British Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
Re: mid july
      Mon Jul 15 2002 10:26 AM

So will TD One become Arthur? Good question! Visible imagery shows the low-level centre exposed on the western edge of the deep convection. However, an exposed or even open centre does not mean that the depression wont become a Storm. Remember Bonnie a few years back? Before she moved onshore near Wilmington, a few hours prior her centre was open to the west! And she still strengthened from a Cat 1 to a Cat 2. Although the time is short for TD One, it might just make it to TS Arthur before going extratropical. And yes, i think Arthur might only be around for 12 or 18 hours!

Any way, i guess we will see as the next batch of Advisories from NHC will be out within the hour.

Rich B

StormWarn2000 I.W.N.

--------------------
Rich B

SkyWarn UK


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2002's First Tropical Depression Forms Near NC CFHCAdministrator Mon Jul 15 2002 10:26 AM
. * * Re: 2002's First Tropical Depression Forms Near NC andy1tom   Mon Jul 15 2002 11:14 AM
. * * Re: 2002's First Tropical Depression Forms Near NC Anonymous   Mon Jul 15 2002 11:29 AM
. * * TWW Discussion #1 Jason Moreland   Sun Jul 14 2002 05:18 PM
. * * call me what you want but don't call me late for Matt   Sun Jul 14 2002 06:10 PM
. * * 96L-td1 Anonymous (HF)   Sun Jul 14 2002 07:33 PM
. * * TD 1 thoughts. Kevin   Sun Jul 14 2002 10:19 PM
. * * Re: 96L-td1 Anonymous   Sun Jul 14 2002 08:32 PM
. * * Re: 96L-td1 Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 09:39 PM
. * * Re: 96L-td1 John C   Sun Jul 14 2002 10:28 PM
. * * My email will not send. Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 11:09 PM
. * * mid july Anonymous (HF)   Mon Jul 15 2002 12:25 AM
. * * Re: mid july Steve   Mon Jul 15 2002 12:32 AM
. * * Re: mid july Steve   Mon Jul 15 2002 12:35 AM
. * * Re: mid july Rich B   Mon Jul 15 2002 10:26 AM
. * * Re: 2002's First Tropical Depression Forms Near NC Matthew   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:50 PM
. * * Re: 2002's First Tropical Depression Forms Near NC Rich B   Sun Jul 14 2002 04:56 PM

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