I just looked at Joe B's video and there is something eerily similar in Matt's take on things and what Joe has historically done...I mean taking issue with the NHC, and aggressive "forecasting"...come on Matt are you really Joe in-cognito? LOL!
by the way Joe does ref. a surface trough in the eastern gulf and current radar (1:45 p.m.) shows how that is effecting rain movement over the westcoast of the eastcoast of the U.S...he notes the upper High we have been afflicted with the last few days over this trough and said NOGAPS does suggest persistence and NW movement ( it is the only model which does). EDS.
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