In Austraila, they are 34-47kn (storm force considered > 47), but in the United States they're considered 39mph+.
Watched the TU on Acwx. Joe B. freely admitted that this being Tuesday, divine guidance would be required for him to hit his Central Gulf forecast for Sun-Mon. He continued to note the fact that there would be a tendancy for a yank toward the Mexican coast, but he likes the idea of a stall there Thursday/Friday. He referenced the ETA which appears to agree with his calll more than any of the other models at this time as it shows a system cutting SE from NM/AZ that would kick Larry off to the N then NE. The ETA 60 hour rainfall potential in the Gulf has a couple of 10"+ swaths in the Gulf. Then at 84, the 24 hour totals approach the previous 60. Let me see if I can find a good link to the ETA (might have to use NCEP or FNMOC):
Nah. All my Unisys links are dead (as are ATWC.org's). So you get the NCEP:
Now the 12Z ETA is far less bullish at 84 hours than was the 6z or 00z runs. So that should be considered. Nonetheless, it's still got a blob SSE from Brownsville. Therefore, ETA is still anticipating that the storm won't get drawn into Mexico.
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