F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The broad Gulf area is now up to 70/70% for development while the Atlantic area is 10/30% for development. Neither are marked as an invest area yet, but the Gulf may be tagged later today. Texas should watch the Gulf area for a large rain event. Atlantic is FL through the Carolinas depending on how soon (if at all) the system develops, sooner implies further north.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: Oh that crazed CPC model...
      Mon Feb 23 2004 06:10 PM

No telling on El Nino. Seems that it's been more La Nina to netural for the last couple of years (at least in the eastern zones). Today's SSTA's look pretty neutal still. As for the Atlantic, it's mostly "slightly warmer than average" except right along the entire East and Gulf Coasts of the CONUS.

I don't have much of a handle on the 2004 season yet. I'd expect it (on a hunch) to differ from 2002-2003. We'll have to check the water temperature profiles in May and also continue to watch where the the trofs are lining up (and how far west they retrograde) We'll have to watch the EastPac for any deviations from neutral and how they play into the peak season (late August - mid October). Many may recall that March-June period is the most statisically difficult period to predict oncoming El Ninos. And we'll have to watch precipitation profiles for the winter and spring in the SE.

Anyway, I'd guess that the season (#'s wise) should be closer to average than the last 2 years, but that's a real stretch right now. Absent a strong El Nino, I'd figure about 12 NS is as good of a place as any to build off of.

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The Quiet Time Continues Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Feb 23 2004 06:10 PM
. * * Re: The Quiet Time Continues NNE   Fri Mar 26 2004 07:20 PM
. * * !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Kevin   Fri Mar 26 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Re: !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! NNE   Sat Mar 27 2004 12:49 AM
. * * Surprise south atlantic hurricane !!! Cycloneye   Fri Mar 26 2004 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Surprise south atlantic hurricane !!! Summercyclone   Fri Mar 26 2004 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Surprise south atlantic hurricane history made !!! Cycloneye   Fri Mar 26 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Surprise south atlantic hurricane history made !!! Summercyclone   Fri Mar 26 2004 10:33 PM
. * * Its That Time Again Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Mar 24 2004 01:52 AM
. * * Re: Its That Time Again Cycloneye   Wed Mar 24 2004 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Its That Time Again visitor   Fri Mar 26 2004 07:12 PM
. * * Oh that crazed CPC model... Kevin   Tue Feb 17 2004 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Oh that crazed CPC model... Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Feb 17 2004 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Oh that crazed CPC model... Kevin   Thu Feb 19 2004 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Oh that crazed CPC model... Steve   Mon Feb 23 2004 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Oh that crazed CPC model... stormchazer   Tue Mar 09 2004 01:43 PM
. * * Re: The Quiet Time Continues Kevin   Wed Feb 04 2004 07:13 PM
. * * Re: The Quiet Time Continues Cycloneye   Wed Feb 04 2004 12:46 PM
. * * Look at this! Bill   Sun Feb 01 2004 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Look at this! JustMe   Sun Feb 01 2004 03:45 PM
. * * Re: The Quiet Time Continues Chris Hunter   Sun Jan 18 2004 02:44 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 169 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 6339

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center