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#Beryl forms in the Central Atlantic and forecast to become a hurricane over the weekend, Hurricane and Tropical watches for some of the Windwards likely issued tomorrow.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#3 10:00 am EDT
9.8N 45.5W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 1001mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: fuji(w?)hara and names
      Sat Jul 27 2002 06:45 PM

HF you've got a great sense of humor - thanks, I needed that! Speaking of numbers, why is it that every seasonal forecast is always from 9 to 16 named storms, every year? You never seem to see a forecast from 3 to 7 - sometimes 8. I'll bet that if you had a W+ El Nino in the second quarter (April, May, June) and a frigid tropical Atlantic (probably no such thing), you'd still have a pre-season forecast range from 7 to 11. I can't recall the last time that I saw a forecast (my own included) when the numbers were 4 or 5 or 6 - yet those types of seasons do happen from time to time. Maybe its just refusing to accept what the science might be telling us. Probably just a matter of trying to forecast something which really cannot be forecasted with any consistent accuracy. Anyway, it certainly makes for a good challenge each year
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Fujiwara Ed DunhamAdministrator Sat Jul 27 2002 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Fujiwara John C   Tue Jul 23 2002 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Fujiwara Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jul 23 2002 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Fujiwara John C   Tue Jul 23 2002 07:54 PM
. * * fuji(w?)hara and names Anonymous (HF)   Fri Jul 26 2002 01:52 AM
. * * Re: fuji(w?)hara and names Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jul 27 2002 06:45 PM
. * * numbers Anonymous (HF)   Wed Jul 31 2002 03:42 PM

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