And the tropics are sleepy. But agitated, soon we may see a change of pace that will bring a great deal more activity to follow, but not necessarily to land.
Nothing immediate is going to form, so we can leave it out. But the heat in the East along with the general pattern staying mostly unfavorible for formation may mean a larger transformation once mid August comes.
The effect of the general pattern on tropical activity will not be seen into the later season. Until then, nap a little bit more, but sleep lightly.