Two weeks to go and the "wave-mongering" has already started (And I love it!). You know it's close to hurricane season now. The Gulf of Mexico, although a few models have suggested something occuring, is probably not going to have something tropical in there.
If it were to happen anytime this year, that would be the place to look, but upper winds aren't going to allow anything of significance to get going down there. Along with many of the negative factors, we'll have to keep looking elsewhere. It isn't impossible, but I just don't see it this time.
I will be gone (LA and NY) for a week and a half, back just in time for Hurricane Season to start. When the season starts, I'll give my own amateur outlook for this year's season.