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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
please check out these statistics, thank u
      Thu Jul 08 2004 04:19 AM

Luis,

You know that GFS stands for "Good For S---" don't you?

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evening mjo's arrival becomes very apparent and the system goes offline temporarily.. bummer
********************************************
HF,

2 solid posts, as always. Yeah, the site was down for like 13 hours yesterday, not sure why. Maybe Mike was trying something new out.

*******************************************************

And HF, loved the "latin" reference with the plural of the brothers Cornelius. It's been 20 years, but, I do believe that would be the "Brothers Cornelii".

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SC et. al.

'Twas Bertha, 1996. (actually formed early July, but I think that's the one you mean...)

(note..this should go in weather history)
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posts 15779 through 15785 AT LEAST are ALL abotu hurricane history NOt bringing on the weather... for instance..
Re: LI Express [Re: LI Phil]
#15785 - Tue Jul 06 2004 12:44 PM Edit Reply Quote Quick Reply



Thanks Phil, that really was interesting reading. That was one ferocious storm! Not exactly small either, at 500 miles wide. It must have been a truly terrifying storm to experience. We really are very lucky to live in an age of satellite technology and early warnings. It was lucky that the hurricane had weakened from CAT 5 status!

I take it that Gloria in '85 would have been the worst storm you experienced personally?

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then there is the ED PHONE HOME POSTS which weren't removed...
Glad ED is okay [Re: James88]
#15786 - Tue Jul 06 2004 12:50 PM Edit Reply Quote Quick Reply



I was beginning to worry because Phil was so concerned.

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then theres colleen, can someone give that girl her password...
***************************************
then from the Alex K person there are the anonymous NHC bashing posts on why they differ

Obviously the people who write the tropical weather outlook are not the same people who write the discussion.

From the outlook"UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE"

From the discussion-"THE WAVE IS MOVING INTO AN INCREASINGLY HOSTILE
ENVIRONMENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRONG SAHARAN AIR LAYER
OUTBREAK."

I wish that the official authority on this could coordinate what they are saying

.......The most recent Discussion was written by Jamie R. Rhome, who is with NOAA.

You can tell who issued what forecast, as their names appear at the end of the statements. I believe that even within the NHC, different forecasters can issue rather divergent forecasts based upon the same data...their "style" if you will.

I'm not certain if the NHC guys issue Discussions as well, or if that is entirely separate. Maybe one of our Mets can clear that up.

Cheers,

LI Phil
****************************************
back to mjo
Re: One more thing [Re: Old Sailor]
#15806 - Tue Jul 06 2004 04:06 PM Edit Reply Quote Quick Reply



Looks like the MJO factor is well and truly taking hold in the Atlantic basin. How long is this likely to last for?

Post Extras:

************************************
You might want to take Collen's anon post off here too..us women seem to have problems staying ON topic..

This is Colleen....I have to post as "anonymous" because I can't remember my doggone password..ARGH!

Hope everyone had a safe and happy 4th of July! We enjoyed ours. We went to the Pepsi 400 in Daytona and got hammered by a severe storm. Ouch! Three guys got hit by lightning by the merchandise trailers, but they all lived to tell about it (how, I don't know) and were even able to go watch the race! Amazing! I guess a better question to ask would be why they were at the merchadise trailers in the first place with that kind of storm going on. It takes all kinds....which my 8-year noticed. As we were making our way into the racetrack, he noted the following:

"There sure are a lot of drunk people here, Mom! (pauses for a moment)....oh yeah, it's a race!! You're supposed to be drunk! DUH!"

Kids.....they don't miss a trick, eh?

Re: the wave/invest/tpc statement. I thought that there was a year that we had a CV storm early in June, am I insane? I'm sure it fizzled out but I do remember thinking at the time that it would be an active season, and I think it was either last year or the year before. I'm sure someone knows. I'm sure the TPC is "thinking" that this wave has a little potential but not much, but for them to mention it at all speaks for itself. As for marginal conditions...well, who knows what could happen. Maybe this will be a rogue storm. I don't remember Andrew being forecast to be a Cat4-5 or for it to hit south Florida, either. But he did, and the rest is history! Never underestimate Mother Nature. Just when she's got you down for your nap, she comes screaming back into the room to tell you it's time to get up!

It looks like we might see some nasty weather here in Polk County. It looks as though Hillsborough is taking a severe beating at the present moment.

Hope all is okay with Ed. I'm sure we'll hear soon.

Colleen

BUT SHE DIDNT MENTION NAKED WOMEN IN NEPAL WORRYING ABOUT THE MONSOONS BEING OVER A MONTH LATE AND RUINING THE RICE CROP THAT COULD BE DESTROY A REGIONS WHOLE ECONOMY ...

OH I AM SOOOO SORRY i WAS OFF TOPIC BY TALKING ABOUT THE LACK OF RAIN AND A LATE RAINY SEASON AND WAITING TO BRING ON THE WEATHER.

IF IT STARTS RAINING IN NEPAL... YOU OWE ME
AND NO IM NOT PLANNING ON DANCING IN THE RAIN (*#&@) FOR YOU iN MIAMI..
YOU'LL JUST HAVE TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO GET YOUR RAIN GODS TO BRING ON THE WEATHER WITHOUT MY HELP.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Bring on the Weather! John C Thu Jul 08 2004 04:19 AM
. * * Patience Please Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jul 07 2004 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Patience Please James88   Wed Jul 07 2004 07:39 AM
. * * Re: Patience Please Lois   Wed Jul 07 2004 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Patience Please Anonymous   Wed Jul 07 2004 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Patience Please Tropics Guy   Wed Jul 07 2004 04:36 PM
. * * ps about patience and the mjo bobbi   Wed Jul 07 2004 04:53 PM
. * * Re: ps about patience and the mjo James88   Wed Jul 07 2004 05:19 PM
. * * thanks re: mjo bobbi   Wed Jul 07 2004 06:47 PM
. * * African wave potential? Cycloneye   Wed Jul 07 2004 05:53 PM
. * * Re: African wave potential? Cycloneye   Wed Jul 07 2004 10:35 PM
. * * Re: African wave potential? LI Phil   Wed Jul 07 2004 11:28 PM
. * * Re: African wave potential? Steve Hirschberg   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:44 AM
. * * Re: African wave potential? HanKFranK   Thu Jul 08 2004 01:57 AM
. * * Re: African wave potential? h2ocean   Thu Jul 08 2004 02:44 AM
. * * Topic is "bring on the weather" not models and waves LoisCane   Thu Jul 08 2004 04:03 AM
. * * please check out these statistics, thank u LoisCane   Thu Jul 08 2004 04:19 AM
. * * Re: please check out these statistics, thank u Steve-unjacked   Thu Jul 08 2004 05:00 AM
. * * Re: please check out these statistics, thank u Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:03 AM
. * * On the sats LoisCane   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:29 AM
. * * Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:34 AM
. * * Re: On the sats JustMe   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:34 AM
. * * Re: On the sats javlin   Thu Jul 08 2004 03:42 PM
. * * Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 03:49 PM
. * * Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:39 AM
. * * Re: On the sats Anonymous   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:58 AM
. * * Re: On the sats Steve hirsch.   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:00 PM
. * * Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:01 PM
. * * 96L invest for system near Bermuda Cycloneye   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:05 PM
. * * Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda LI Phil   Thu Jul 08 2004 03:30 PM
. * * i know what you mean phil ...but bobbi   Thu Jul 08 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda Steve hirsch.   Thu Jul 08 2004 03:55 PM
. * * Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda LI Phil   Thu Jul 08 2004 04:05 PM
. * * Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda Steve hirsch.   Thu Jul 08 2004 04:31 PM
. * * Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 04:13 PM
. * * Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda Jamiewx   Thu Jul 08 2004 03:24 PM
. * * Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:00 PM
. * * Patterns in late rainy season starts ..wondering LoisCane   Thu Jul 08 2004 01:41 AM
. * * Re: Patterns in late rainy season starts ..wondering Tropics Guy   Thu Jul 08 2004 01:58 AM
. * * Re: Patterns in late rainy season starts ..wondering LI Phil   Thu Jul 08 2004 02:06 AM
. * * Re: African wave potential? LoisCane   Wed Jul 07 2004 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Patience Please James88   Wed Jul 07 2004 04:15 PM
. * * One more thing Alex K   Tue Jul 06 2004 06:08 PM
. * * Good catch! summercyclone   Tue Jul 06 2004 07:00 PM
. * * Re: One more thing LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 06:58 PM
. * * Re: One more thing Old Sailor   Tue Jul 06 2004 07:08 PM
. * * Re: One more thing James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 08:06 PM
. * * getting active......but Alex K   Wed Jul 07 2004 01:46 AM
. * * Re: getting active......but JustMe   Wed Jul 07 2004 02:52 AM
. * * shift HanKFranK   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:49 PM
. * * Re: shift HanKFranK   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:55 PM
. * * Re: shift summercyclone   Wed Jul 07 2004 01:42 PM
. * * Re: shift LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:08 PM
. * * Atlantic is heating up Cycloneye   Wed Jul 07 2004 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Atlantic is heating up LI Phil   Wed Jul 07 2004 12:18 AM
. * * Things really heating up Jamiewx   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Things really heating up Rich B   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:48 PM
. * * I agree Alex K   Wed Jul 07 2004 06:18 PM
. * * Re: I agree Jamiewx   Wed Jul 07 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: I agree James88   Wed Jul 07 2004 08:11 PM
. * * New East Atlantic Wave Rich B   Wed Jul 07 2004 07:54 PM
. * * the 2 prospects Alex K   Tue Jul 06 2004 06:02 PM
. * * searching for Alex Alex K   Mon Jul 05 2004 03:12 AM
. * * Re: searching for Alex h2ocean   Mon Jul 05 2004 03:29 AM
. * * Re: searching for Alex James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:20 PM
. * * hi..boo BObbi   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:27 PM
. * * Re: hi..boo James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 02:37 PM
. * * Interesting Wave Kevin   Mon Jul 05 2004 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Interesting Wave James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 03:15 PM
. * * Glad ED is okay Wild Cat   Tue Jul 06 2004 04:50 PM
. * * 95L for eaat atlantic wave Cycloneye   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:09 PM
. * * 95L for eastern atlantic wave Jamiewx   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:20 PM
. * * Re: 95L for eaat atlantic wave James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Interesting Wave joepub1   Mon Jul 05 2004 03:54 PM
. * * looking at conditions... Alex K   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:32 PM
. * * Re: looking at conditions... Jamiewx   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:36 PM
. * * Re: looking at conditions... James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:44 PM
. * * Re: looking at conditions... Steve Hirschberg   Mon Jul 05 2004 06:03 PM
. * * More satellite imagery Jamiewx   Mon Jul 05 2004 06:16 PM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery Anonymous   Mon Jul 05 2004 07:20 PM
. * * Re: June CV storm summercyclone   Tue Jul 06 2004 01:53 PM
. * * Bertha don't you come around here, anymore... LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Bertha don't you come around here, anymore... summercyclone   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Bertha don't you come around here, anymore... James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Bertha don't you come around here, anymore... James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 02:58 PM
. * * Bertha LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Bertha James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 03:22 PM
. * * LI 'Canes LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 03:36 PM
. * * Re: LI 'Canes James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 03:56 PM
. * * LI Express LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 04:04 PM
. * * Re: LI Express Anonymous   Tue Jul 06 2004 04:55 PM
. * * Re: LI Express Steve hirsch.   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:11 PM
. * * Belle LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:23 PM
. * * Donna James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:42 PM
. * * Re: LI Express James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 04:44 PM
. * * Re: LI Express LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Off Fl? summercyclone   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Off Fl? James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:10 PM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 07:34 PM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:14 AM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:34 AM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery Rich B   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:42 AM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:50 AM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery Rich B   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:39 AM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery Cycloneye   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:42 AM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery Steve hirsch.   Tue Jul 06 2004 12:02 PM
. * * Re: More satellite imagery James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:58 AM
. * * Re: looking at conditions... Jamiewx   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:50 PM
. * * Re: looking at conditions... James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:53 PM
. * * 95L invest for East Atlantic wave Cycloneye   Mon Jul 05 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Re: looking at conditions... James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Interesting Wave James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 04:04 PM
. * * Preparations h2ocean   Sat Jul 03 2004 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Preparations James88   Sat Jul 03 2004 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Preparations Cycloneye   Sat Jul 03 2004 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Bring on the Weather! Steve Hirschberg   Sat Jul 03 2004 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Bring on the Weather! Cycloneye   Sat Jul 03 2004 01:16 AM
. * * Ed Dunham John C   Sat Jul 03 2004 01:13 AM
. * * Re: Bring on the Weather! LI Phil   Sat Jul 03 2004 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Bring on the Weather! Tropics Guy   Sat Jul 03 2004 01:19 AM
. * * Re: Bring on the Weather! Storm Cooper   Sat Jul 03 2004 12:32 PM
. * * Happy Birthday America LI Phil   Sat Jul 03 2004 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Happy Birthday America Kevin   Sat Jul 03 2004 05:32 PM
. * * The USA at 228 and in decline... Steve   Sun Jul 04 2004 04:05 AM
. * * Re: The USA at 228 and in decline... Steve   Sun Jul 04 2004 04:11 AM
. * * Potential for development James88   Sun Jul 04 2004 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Potential for development HanKFranK   Sun Jul 04 2004 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Potential for development James88   Sun Jul 04 2004 08:04 PM
. * * Luis & AJ! LI Phil   Sat Jul 03 2004 01:29 AM

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