Maybe its me, but the system in the Gulf seems to have a vortex to the north of the Yucatan--don't thing that it is all impossible for development. Historical note--several storms in recent years have developed in the gulf due to wave interaction with an upper low: Hermine, 9-17-98 Harvey, 9-19-99 Beryl, 8-13-00 Allison, 6-5-01 Barry, 6-5-01 Bill, 6-29-03 it is also interesting to note that since 1967 (when satellite surveillance wasnt limited to one or two images a day) there has never been a year with no depressions before August only 1967, 1972, 1982, 1993, and 2000 went through July without a depression also, in case anyone is interested, the years with no June depression are: 1969, 1971, 1978, 1980, 1983, 1985, 1988, 1990, 1998, 2002, and this year
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