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Antigua, Barbuda under a Tropical Storm watch as Philippe gets close enough to bring flooding rain to the Leeward Islands overnight.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 33 (Idalia) , Major: 33 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 33 (Idalia) Major: 33 (Idalia)
17.0N 60.5W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 998mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
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27.1N 55.4W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1010mb
Moving:
N at 13 mph
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General Discussion >> Other Storm Basins

LI Phil
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Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Blas
      Mon Jul 12 2004 03:16 PM

I don't think it has enough time to strengthen to Hurricane status. Unless it undergoes a rapid intensification (and I don't see any reason for that) or changes course to hug the coast (don't see that happening either), it will hit cooler waters before it can attain hurricane strength winds.

I suppose nothing is ever out of the question, but I wouldn't bet on it.

Of course, I'm not a met, so I'm not really qualified to give you anything more than my (un)educated opinion.

Perhaps one of the mets or HF/Steve/Rob Mann could offer a true meterology-based explanation.

Cheers,

LI Phil

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Action in the East Pacific James88 Mon Jul 12 2004 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Action in the East Pacific James88   Mon Jul 12 2004 09:42 AM
. * * Blas LI Phil   Mon Jul 12 2004 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Blas James88   Mon Jul 12 2004 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Blas LI Phil   Mon Jul 12 2004 03:16 PM
. * * Discussion LI Phil   Mon Jul 12 2004 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Discussion Rob_M   Mon Jul 12 2004 08:23 PM

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