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Landfall of Particularly Dangerous Hurricane Milton near Siesta Key, FL. Catastophic damage (surge, inland flooding, tor and wind) continues. #FLwx #HurricaneMilton
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 13 (Helene) , Major: 13 (Helene) Florida - Any: 13 (Helene) Major: 13 (Helene)
22.6N 49.3W
Wind: 105MPH
Pres: 972mb
Moving:
Nw at 8 mph
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28.1N 81.3W
Wind: 90MPH
Pres: 975mb
Moving:
Ene at 16 mph
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General Discussion >> Other Storm Basins

LI Phil
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC
      Tue Jul 13 2004 12:27 PM

Of the models, the GFDL is actually forecasting Blas to reach hurricane strength for a short period, while the UKMET is predicting a path much closer to the coast (and hence, over warmer water which could also nudge Blas to H status). Official track and progs are for a TS for 24-36 hours with a WNW track.

tracking models.

Also of note is now the models are backing off forming Celia in Blas' wake, as they were doing yesterday. I still feel there's a chance for Celia, but not a great one.

New disturbance in the WestPAC, should reach TS status and affect Taiwan down the road.

Cheers,

LI Phil

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC Cycloneye Tue Jul 13 2004 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC LI Phil   Mon Jul 12 2004 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC James88   Tue Jul 13 2004 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC Cycloneye   Tue Jul 13 2004 07:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC LI Phil   Tue Jul 13 2004 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC LI Phil   Tue Jul 13 2004 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC James88   Tue Jul 13 2004 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC LI Phil   Tue Jul 13 2004 01:49 PM
. * * Blas on the wane? James88   Tue Jul 13 2004 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Blas on the wane? JasonM603   Wed Jul 14 2004 03:31 AM
. * * Re: Blas on the wane? James88   Wed Jul 14 2004 11:04 AM

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