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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

JasonM603
Verified CFHC User

Reged:
Posts: 24

Re: EL NINO
Wed Jul 14 2004 12:07 PM

Quote:

The SOI has been staying negative and the SST's have been somewhat increasing around the equator. I know most of the pros have said neutral for this season and I hope there right. The question is when will EL Nino be truely established?? The waves are starting to look like the last El Nino when they came off and poof. I think it is more climo then any El Nino effect. I still think around 14 names this year because it's still early and there are more + then - effects for this season.

ENSO region 3.4 has been warming but regions 1 and 2 are relatively cooler than average. There are a lot of warming fluctiations due to MJO and SOI changes but I don't see any long term trends that would incidcate that we're about to have an El Nino event. The SOI has been fluctuating a lot but the 90 day average is actually slightly positive.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Jul 14 2004 10:36 PM)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Analysis	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:07 PM
Gulf distrubance	Cocoa Beach	Sun Jul 18 2004 07:39 PM
low pressures in gulf	LoisCane	Sun Jul 18 2004 07:51 PM
Re: This wave might have a chance.........	Tropics Guy	Sun Jul 18 2004 09:38 PM
It's MY WAVE	LI Phil	Sun Jul 18 2004 09:58 PM
Re: It's MY WAVE	LoisCane	Sun Jul 18 2004 10:52 PM
Invest for the wave	James88	Mon Jul 19 2004 02:25 AM
Re: It's MY WAVE	javlin	Sun Jul 18 2004 10:18 PM
Question	Cocoa Beach	Sun Jul 18 2004 10:35 AM
Re: Question	Cocoa Beach	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:22 AM
ULL vs THE WAVE	bobbi	Mon Jul 19 2004 11:04 AM
Re: Question	caneman	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:39 AM
Re: Question	Cocoa Beach	Mon Jul 19 2004 11:25 AM
Re: 97L	doug	Mon Jul 19 2004 12:09 PM
Re: 97L	Alex K	Mon Jul 19 2004 12:57 PM
Re: 97L	scottsvb1	Mon Jul 19 2004 01:08 PM
Re: 97L	Rabbit	Mon Jul 19 2004 01:47 PM
Re: 97L	Steve hirsch.	Mon Jul 19 2004 12:50 PM
97L-Models	LI Phil	Mon Jul 19 2004 01:00 PM
Re: Question	Rabbit	Mon Jul 19 2004 12:05 PM
97L on IR WV Loop	LI Phil	Mon Jul 19 2004 11:02 AM
Link to Bouy	CocoaBeach	Sun Jul 18 2004 02:03 PM
Possible Developments???	GR FLA	Sun Jul 18 2004 10:59 AM
Re: Possible Developments???	LI Phil	Sun Jul 18 2004 01:52 PM
Re: Possible Developments???	Steve Hirschb.	Sun Jul 18 2004 02:04 PM
Re: Possible Developments???	James88	Sun Jul 18 2004 02:26 PM
"my wave" down there	LoisCane	Sun Jul 18 2004 03:19 PM
EVERYBODY'S WAVE!!!	GR FLA	Sun Jul 18 2004 04:33 PM
Re: EVERYBODY'S WAVE!!!	LoisCane	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:06 PM
IT'S MY WAVE!	LI Phil	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:39 PM
Gulf Storm Soon	GR FLA	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:50 PM
Re: Gulf Storm Soon	Old Sailor	Sun Jul 18 2004 09:43 PM
Re: Gulf Storm Soon	DustDuchess	Sun Jul 18 2004 07:47 PM
Re: Gulf Storm Soon DELETED	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:54 PM
Revised Number of Storms?	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jul 18 2004 06:24 PM
Re: Revised Number of Storms?	LI Phil	Sun Jul 18 2004 06:35 PM
Re: Gulf Storm Soon	GR FLA	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:58 PM
Re: Possible Developments???	Rich B	Sun Jul 18 2004 02:22 PM
Waves Coming off Africa	Anonymous	Wed Jul 14 2004 08:27 AM
Re: Waves Coming off Africa	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 10:45 AM
Re: Waves Coming off Africa	James88	Wed Jul 14 2004 11:53 AM
Re: Waves Coming off Africa	Steve hirsch.	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:04 PM
Re: Analysis	mp3reed	Sun Jul 11 2004 07:56 PM
Re: Analysis	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 11 2004 08:19 PM
circumstances and other forums	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 11 2004 10:24 PM
Re: circumstances and other forums	h2ocean	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:20 PM
Great explanation of MJO	LI Phil	Mon Jul 12 2004 10:32 AM
Re: Great explanation of MJO	Steve	Mon Jul 12 2004 01:13 PM
Steve-wrong link!	LI Phil	Mon Jul 12 2004 01:16 PM
Re: Steve-wrong link!	Anonymous	Mon Jul 12 2004 01:18 PM
Re: Steve-wrong link!	andy1tom	Mon Jul 12 2004 01:59 PM
12N / 82W	CocoaBeach	Mon Jul 12 2004 03:19 PM
3 Areas	LI Phil	Mon Jul 12 2004 03:29 PM
Re: 3 Areas	Anonymous	Tue Jul 13 2004 10:17 AM
Re: 3 Areas	Robert	Tue Jul 13 2004 10:38 AM
Re: 3 Areas	LI Phil	Tue Jul 13 2004 11:49 AM
Re: 3 Areas...look again at the SW Carib as in NOW	Bobbi	Tue Jul 13 2004 12:52 PM
Re: 3 Areas...look again at the SW Carib as in NOW	Old Sailor	Tue Jul 13 2004 01:19 PM
Re: 3 Areas...look again at the SW Carib as in NOW	Old Sailor	Wed Jul 14 2004 10:32 PM
Happy Birthday Old Sailor	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 10:49 PM
Just Some Notes	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 14 2004 11:51 PM
Re: Just Some Notes	LoisCane	Thu Jul 15 2004 08:12 AM
All Quiet on the Tropic Front	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 10:29 AM
Re: All Quiet on the Tropic Front	James88	Thu Jul 15 2004 10:38 AM
Re: All Quiet on the Tropic Front	JustMe	Thu Jul 15 2004 11:47 AM
Re: All Quiet on the Tropic Front	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:06 PM
Commentary...	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:25 PM
Re: Commentary...	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:34 PM
Re: Commentary...	ROB H	Thu Jul 15 2004 01:42 PM
Re: Commentary...	Robert	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:42 PM
Question about the Bermuda High.	Cocoa Beach	Thu Jul 15 2004 01:27 PM
Re: Question about the Bermuda High.	GR MIAMI	Thu Jul 15 2004 02:47 PM
For Cocoa & GR Miami	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 02:59 PM
Great Article	Cocoa Beach	Thu Jul 15 2004 03:15 PM
Observations	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 15 2004 02:55 PM
Re: Observations	Steve Hirschb.	Thu Jul 15 2004 03:00 PM
Re: Observations	James88	Thu Jul 15 2004 03:19 PM
Unnamed Storms	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:56 PM
Re: Unnamed Storms	Anonymous	Thu Jul 15 2004 05:12 PM
Re:site prob	summercyclone	Thu Jul 15 2004 05:17 PM
Re:site prob	Old Sailor	Thu Jul 15 2004 05:22 PM
A Possibility For Development?	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 08:24 PM
My Thoughts on E ATL Wave	JasonM603	Thu Jul 15 2004 08:20 PM
Re: My Thoughts on E ATL Wave	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 08:45 PM
East atlantic wave potential?	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 15 2004 09:15 PM
Re: East atlantic wave potential?	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 10:54 PM
Re: East atlantic wave potential?	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 11:36 AM
Disturbance south of Coo-bah	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 12:31 PM
Re: Just an interesting pic	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 12:50 PM
Another wave bites the dust	Cycloneye	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:11 PM
Re: Another wave bites the dust	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:47 PM
Re: Another wave bites the dust	James88	Fri Jul 16 2004 03:49 PM
cuba and atlantic	Rabbit	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:38 PM
strong storms over south florida and watching the wave	bobbi	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:32 PM
Re: Looks good to me! Best so far...	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:33 PM
7/15/04 Tropics...	Steve	Thu Jul 15 2004 11:47 PM
Re: 7/15/04 Tropics...my thoughts	LoisCane	Fri Jul 16 2004 06:55 AM
Re: 7/15/04 Tropics...my thoughts	Steve hirsch.	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:00 AM
Tropical Goings On...	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 10:23 AM
Re: Tropical Goings On...	James88	Fri Jul 16 2004 11:09 AM
wouldnt it be funny if tropics heated up?	bobbi	Fri Jul 16 2004 10:43 AM
A Little spin below Cuba?	Colleen A.	Fri Jul 16 2004 11:03 AM
Re: A Little spin below Cuba?	Steve Hirschb.	Fri Jul 16 2004 12:26 PM
Forgotten Password? For Steve H.	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 04:04 PM
3 things	bobbi	Fri Jul 16 2004 04:29 PM
ATL wave...no show	Rob_M	Fri Jul 16 2004 04:52 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 05:23 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	Rob_M	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:47 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	Cycloneye	Fri Jul 16 2004 06:30 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	Steve Hirschb.	Fri Jul 16 2004 07:29 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:24 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	javlin	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:55 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 09:58 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	Rob_M	Fri Jul 16 2004 10:31 PM
Saturday AM	LI Phil	Sat Jul 17 2004 11:45 AM
Re: Saturday AM	Steve hirsch.	Sat Jul 17 2004 12:03 PM
Re: Saturday PM	Cycloneye	Sat Jul 17 2004 12:28 PM
Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	LI Phil	Sat Jul 17 2004 05:12 PM
Re: Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	Rabbit	Sat Jul 17 2004 05:43 PM
Morning Discussion on Wave	JasonM603	Mon Jul 19 2004 05:19 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave	LoisCane	Mon Jul 19 2004 07:53 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave	Tropics Guy	Mon Jul 19 2004 09:42 AM
Morning Discussion on Wave & 1969-Thanks	Bobbi	Mon Jul 19 2004 09:51 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave & 1969-Thanks	Anonymous	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:23 AM
97L	LI Phil	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:32 AM
Re: New CV wave	Tropics Guy	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:12 AM
97L	Jamiewx	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:20 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave	Cycloneye	Mon Jul 19 2004 07:02 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave	Cycloneye	Mon Jul 19 2004 07:29 AM
lowering..	LoisCane	Sat Jul 17 2004 09:57 PM
Re: lowering..	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 17 2004 10:45 PM
Re: Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	JasonM603	Sat Jul 17 2004 08:18 PM
Re: Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	Cycloneye	Sat Jul 17 2004 08:31 PM
URL	LI Phil	Sat Jul 17 2004 05:48 PM
Re: Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	James88	Sat Jul 17 2004 05:40 PM
What about the next wave to emerge Africa?	Cycloneye	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:34 PM
Re:Correlation Between Florida fires and the 'Season'	rmbjoe1954	Fri Jul 16 2004 06:19 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	James88	Fri Jul 16 2004 05:08 PM
Re: Passwords	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 04:38 PM
Re: A Little spin below Cuba?	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 11:14 AM
Re: 7/15/04 Tropics...my thoughts	James88	Fri Jul 16 2004 10:14 AM
analyze this.....	bobbi	Thu Jul 15 2004 10:34 AM
Re: 3 Areas...look again at the SW Carib as in NOW	LI Phil	Tue Jul 13 2004 01:40 PM
see if it sits	bobbi	Tue Jul 13 2004 01:48 PM
Re: see if it sits	Anonymous	Tue Jul 13 2004 04:07 PM
Re: see if it sits	LI Phil	Tue Jul 13 2004 05:38 PM
irritating small things	HanKFranK	Tue Jul 13 2004 06:31 PM
you sound testy hf, watching loops here	Bobbi	Tue Jul 13 2004 08:43 PM
Re: you sound testy hf, watching loops here	Anonymous	Wed Jul 14 2004 01:42 AM
Re: you sound testy hf, watching loops here	JasonM603	Wed Jul 14 2004 03:34 AM
Several days time?	James88	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:49 AM
Re: Several days time?	JustMe	Wed Jul 14 2004 07:53 AM
EL NINO	LONNY307	Wed Jul 14 2004 08:23 AM
Re: EL NINO	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:14 PM
Re: EL NINO	Steve	Wed Jul 14 2004 03:24 PM
Re: EL NINO	Steve Hirschb.	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:45 PM
Re: EL NINO	Steve Hirschb.	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:48 PM
Re: EL NINO	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 03:58 PM
Hot in Florida	Bobbi	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:23 PM
A repeat of 1998?	James88	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:53 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	Bobbi	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:57 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	Steve	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:18 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	HanKFranK	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:46 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:28 PM
Phil...wake up and smell the chamomille tea	Bobbi	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:55 PM
other late starts	Rabbit	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:38 PM
Re: other late starts	HanKFranK	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:53 PM
the source...	Rabbit	Wed Jul 14 2004 06:13 PM
If you actually took the time to READ my posts	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 06:34 PM
Re: the source...	Rabbit	Wed Jul 14 2004 06:20 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	James88	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:05 PM
Re: EL NINO	JasonM603	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:07 PM
Re: Several days time?	Steve hirsch.	Wed Jul 14 2004 07:53 AM
testy as buddha	HanKFranK	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:30 AM
Re: irritating small things	LI Phil	Tue Jul 13 2004 06:50 PM
Re: see if it sits	Steve	Tue Jul 13 2004 05:10 PM
Re: 1999	summercyclone	Wed Jul 14 2004 10:41 AM
Re: Gulf micro-low	summercyclone	Mon Jul 12 2004 03:51 PM
Re: Gulf micro-low	Steve	Mon Jul 12 2004 04:16 PM
Possible Carib system and flooding in Nepal too!	Bobbi	Mon Jul 12 2004 05:03 PM
nothing doing, still analysis time	HanKFranK	Mon Jul 12 2004 08:46 PM
Re: nothing doing, still analysis time	LI Phil	Mon Jul 12 2004 08:58 PM
CV wave too low	Bobbi	Tue Jul 13 2004 08:15 AM
NE Gulf	Bobbi	Mon Jul 12 2004 02:40 PM
hey to As IF lol	bobbi	Mon Jul 12 2004 07:53 AM
Re: Analysis	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 11 2004 05:22 PM
Re: Analysis	Anonymous	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:08 PM
Re: Analysis	Steve Hirschb.	Sun Jul 11 2004 07:12 PM
Wave in GOM and a possible circulation center ...deja vu	LoisCane	Sun Jul 11 2004 07:43 PM
Re: Analysis	Anonymous	Sun Jul 11 2004 01:19 PM
Re: Analysis	LI Phil	Sat Jul 10 2004 06:36 PM
Re: Analysis	Cycloneye	Sat Jul 10 2004 07:21 PM
Re: Analysis	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jul 11 2004 07:49 AM
Re: Analysis	James88	Sun Jul 11 2004 08:07 AM
Re: Analysis	Rabbit	Sun Jul 11 2004 10:36 AM
Re: Analysis	LI Phil	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:12 AM
Re: Analysis	tornado00	Sun Jul 11 2004 12:05 PM
What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	LoisCane	Sun Jul 11 2004 01:30 PM
Re: What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	h2ocean	Sat Jul 17 2004 08:50 PM
Re: What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	Old Sailor	Sat Jul 17 2004 09:28 PM
Re: What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	Steve Hirschb..	Sun Jul 11 2004 04:31 PM
Climo	LI Phil	Sun Jul 11 2004 05:22 PM
Re: What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	James88	Sun Jul 11 2004 05:19 PM
Re: Analysis	James88	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:56 AM
Re: Analysis	James88	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:08 AM

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