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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

LI Phil
User

Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)

Commentary...
Thu Jul 15 2004 12:25 PM

This comes from Mark Sudduth, of hurricanetrack.com. Pretty neat little site, and he offers, free of charge, daily commentary:

As I look at conditions across the Atlantic Basin, it is clear that just about all of the ingredients needed to form a hurricane are in place. Water temps are plenty warm, upper level winds are favorable in several areas and there are tropical waves moving steadily off of Africa every few days. So what's the hold up? Dry, stable air. A layer of African dust and dry air is choking off any chance of deep convection developing right now in the deep tropics. Until that layer (called SAL or Saharan Air Layer) eases up, it is unlikely that we will see any development in the eastern Atlantic. However, over the next few weeks, as water temperatures get even warmer in the eastern Atlantic, the lower levels of the atmosphere will become more humid and unstable. It is no coincidence that the so-called "Cape Verde" season usually kicks off around the middle of August. So enjoy the calm right now- because there is still every indication that the peak of the season will be very busy.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Analysis	Ed Dunham	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:25 PM
Gulf distrubance	Cocoa Beach	Sun Jul 18 2004 07:39 PM
low pressures in gulf	LoisCane	Sun Jul 18 2004 07:51 PM
Re: This wave might have a chance.........	Tropics Guy	Sun Jul 18 2004 09:38 PM
It's MY WAVE	LI Phil	Sun Jul 18 2004 09:58 PM
Re: It's MY WAVE	LoisCane	Sun Jul 18 2004 10:52 PM
Invest for the wave	James88	Mon Jul 19 2004 02:25 AM
Re: It's MY WAVE	javlin	Sun Jul 18 2004 10:18 PM
Question	Cocoa Beach	Sun Jul 18 2004 10:35 AM
Re: Question	Cocoa Beach	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:22 AM
ULL vs THE WAVE	bobbi	Mon Jul 19 2004 11:04 AM
Re: Question	caneman	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:39 AM
Re: Question	Cocoa Beach	Mon Jul 19 2004 11:25 AM
Re: 97L	doug	Mon Jul 19 2004 12:09 PM
Re: 97L	Alex K	Mon Jul 19 2004 12:57 PM
Re: 97L	scottsvb1	Mon Jul 19 2004 01:08 PM
Re: 97L	Rabbit	Mon Jul 19 2004 01:47 PM
Re: 97L	Steve hirsch.	Mon Jul 19 2004 12:50 PM
97L-Models	LI Phil	Mon Jul 19 2004 01:00 PM
Re: Question	Rabbit	Mon Jul 19 2004 12:05 PM
97L on IR WV Loop	LI Phil	Mon Jul 19 2004 11:02 AM
Link to Bouy	CocoaBeach	Sun Jul 18 2004 02:03 PM
Possible Developments???	GR FLA	Sun Jul 18 2004 10:59 AM
Re: Possible Developments???	LI Phil	Sun Jul 18 2004 01:52 PM
Re: Possible Developments???	Steve Hirschb.	Sun Jul 18 2004 02:04 PM
Re: Possible Developments???	James88	Sun Jul 18 2004 02:26 PM
"my wave" down there	LoisCane	Sun Jul 18 2004 03:19 PM
EVERYBODY'S WAVE!!!	GR FLA	Sun Jul 18 2004 04:33 PM
Re: EVERYBODY'S WAVE!!!	LoisCane	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:06 PM
IT'S MY WAVE!	LI Phil	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:39 PM
Gulf Storm Soon	GR FLA	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:50 PM
Re: Gulf Storm Soon	Old Sailor	Sun Jul 18 2004 09:43 PM
Re: Gulf Storm Soon	DustDuchess	Sun Jul 18 2004 07:47 PM
Re: Gulf Storm Soon DELETED	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:54 PM
Revised Number of Storms?	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jul 18 2004 06:24 PM
Re: Revised Number of Storms?	LI Phil	Sun Jul 18 2004 06:35 PM
Re: Gulf Storm Soon	GR FLA	Sun Jul 18 2004 05:58 PM
Re: Possible Developments???	Rich B	Sun Jul 18 2004 02:22 PM
Waves Coming off Africa	Anonymous	Wed Jul 14 2004 08:27 AM
Re: Waves Coming off Africa	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 10:45 AM
Re: Waves Coming off Africa	James88	Wed Jul 14 2004 11:53 AM
Re: Waves Coming off Africa	Steve hirsch.	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:04 PM
Re: Analysis	mp3reed	Sun Jul 11 2004 07:56 PM
Re: Analysis	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 11 2004 08:19 PM
circumstances and other forums	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 11 2004 10:24 PM
Re: circumstances and other forums	h2ocean	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:20 PM
Great explanation of MJO	LI Phil	Mon Jul 12 2004 10:32 AM
Re: Great explanation of MJO	Steve	Mon Jul 12 2004 01:13 PM
Steve-wrong link!	LI Phil	Mon Jul 12 2004 01:16 PM
Re: Steve-wrong link!	Anonymous	Mon Jul 12 2004 01:18 PM
Re: Steve-wrong link!	andy1tom	Mon Jul 12 2004 01:59 PM
12N / 82W	CocoaBeach	Mon Jul 12 2004 03:19 PM
3 Areas	LI Phil	Mon Jul 12 2004 03:29 PM
Re: 3 Areas	Anonymous	Tue Jul 13 2004 10:17 AM
Re: 3 Areas	Robert	Tue Jul 13 2004 10:38 AM
Re: 3 Areas	LI Phil	Tue Jul 13 2004 11:49 AM
Re: 3 Areas...look again at the SW Carib as in NOW	Bobbi	Tue Jul 13 2004 12:52 PM
Re: 3 Areas...look again at the SW Carib as in NOW	Old Sailor	Tue Jul 13 2004 01:19 PM
Re: 3 Areas...look again at the SW Carib as in NOW	Old Sailor	Wed Jul 14 2004 10:32 PM
Happy Birthday Old Sailor	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 10:49 PM
Just Some Notes	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 14 2004 11:51 PM
Re: Just Some Notes	LoisCane	Thu Jul 15 2004 08:12 AM
All Quiet on the Tropic Front	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 10:29 AM
Re: All Quiet on the Tropic Front	James88	Thu Jul 15 2004 10:38 AM
Re: All Quiet on the Tropic Front	JustMe	Thu Jul 15 2004 11:47 AM
Re: All Quiet on the Tropic Front	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:06 PM
Commentary...	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:25 PM
Re: Commentary...	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:34 PM
Re: Commentary...	ROB H	Thu Jul 15 2004 01:42 PM
Re: Commentary...	Robert	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:42 PM
Question about the Bermuda High.	Cocoa Beach	Thu Jul 15 2004 01:27 PM
Re: Question about the Bermuda High.	GR MIAMI	Thu Jul 15 2004 02:47 PM
For Cocoa & GR Miami	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 02:59 PM
Great Article	Cocoa Beach	Thu Jul 15 2004 03:15 PM
Observations	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 15 2004 02:55 PM
Re: Observations	Steve Hirschb.	Thu Jul 15 2004 03:00 PM
Re: Observations	James88	Thu Jul 15 2004 03:19 PM
Unnamed Storms	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 12:56 PM
Re: Unnamed Storms	Anonymous	Thu Jul 15 2004 05:12 PM
Re:site prob	summercyclone	Thu Jul 15 2004 05:17 PM
Re:site prob	Old Sailor	Thu Jul 15 2004 05:22 PM
A Possibility For Development?	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 08:24 PM
My Thoughts on E ATL Wave	JasonM603	Thu Jul 15 2004 08:20 PM
Re: My Thoughts on E ATL Wave	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 08:45 PM
East atlantic wave potential?	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 15 2004 09:15 PM
Re: East atlantic wave potential?	LI Phil	Thu Jul 15 2004 10:54 PM
Re: East atlantic wave potential?	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 11:36 AM
Disturbance south of Coo-bah	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 12:31 PM
Re: Just an interesting pic	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 12:50 PM
Another wave bites the dust	Cycloneye	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:11 PM
Re: Another wave bites the dust	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:47 PM
Re: Another wave bites the dust	James88	Fri Jul 16 2004 03:49 PM
cuba and atlantic	Rabbit	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:38 PM
strong storms over south florida and watching the wave	bobbi	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:32 PM
Re: Looks good to me! Best so far...	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 02:33 PM
7/15/04 Tropics...	Steve	Thu Jul 15 2004 11:47 PM
Re: 7/15/04 Tropics...my thoughts	LoisCane	Fri Jul 16 2004 06:55 AM
Re: 7/15/04 Tropics...my thoughts	Steve hirsch.	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:00 AM
Tropical Goings On...	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 10:23 AM
Re: Tropical Goings On...	James88	Fri Jul 16 2004 11:09 AM
wouldnt it be funny if tropics heated up?	bobbi	Fri Jul 16 2004 10:43 AM
A Little spin below Cuba?	Colleen A.	Fri Jul 16 2004 11:03 AM
Re: A Little spin below Cuba?	Steve Hirschb.	Fri Jul 16 2004 12:26 PM
Forgotten Password? For Steve H.	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 04:04 PM
3 things	bobbi	Fri Jul 16 2004 04:29 PM
ATL wave...no show	Rob_M	Fri Jul 16 2004 04:52 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 05:23 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	Rob_M	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:47 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	Cycloneye	Fri Jul 16 2004 06:30 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	Steve Hirschb.	Fri Jul 16 2004 07:29 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:24 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	javlin	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:55 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	LI Phil	Fri Jul 16 2004 09:58 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	Rob_M	Fri Jul 16 2004 10:31 PM
Saturday AM	LI Phil	Sat Jul 17 2004 11:45 AM
Re: Saturday AM	Steve hirsch.	Sat Jul 17 2004 12:03 PM
Re: Saturday PM	Cycloneye	Sat Jul 17 2004 12:28 PM
Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	LI Phil	Sat Jul 17 2004 05:12 PM
Re: Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	Rabbit	Sat Jul 17 2004 05:43 PM
Morning Discussion on Wave	JasonM603	Mon Jul 19 2004 05:19 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave	LoisCane	Mon Jul 19 2004 07:53 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave	Tropics Guy	Mon Jul 19 2004 09:42 AM
Morning Discussion on Wave & 1969-Thanks	Bobbi	Mon Jul 19 2004 09:51 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave & 1969-Thanks	Anonymous	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:23 AM
97L	LI Phil	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:32 AM
Re: New CV wave	Tropics Guy	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:12 AM
97L	Jamiewx	Mon Jul 19 2004 10:20 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave	Cycloneye	Mon Jul 19 2004 07:02 AM
Re: Morning Discussion on Wave	Cycloneye	Mon Jul 19 2004 07:29 AM
lowering..	LoisCane	Sat Jul 17 2004 09:57 PM
Re: lowering..	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 17 2004 10:45 PM
Re: Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	JasonM603	Sat Jul 17 2004 08:18 PM
Re: Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	Cycloneye	Sat Jul 17 2004 08:31 PM
URL	LI Phil	Sat Jul 17 2004 05:48 PM
Re: Is "my" wave showing signs of life?	James88	Sat Jul 17 2004 05:40 PM
What about the next wave to emerge Africa?	Cycloneye	Fri Jul 16 2004 08:34 PM
Re:Correlation Between Florida fires and the 'Season'	rmbjoe1954	Fri Jul 16 2004 06:19 PM
Re: ATL wave...no show	James88	Fri Jul 16 2004 05:08 PM
Re: Passwords	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 04:38 PM
Re: A Little spin below Cuba?	Anonymous	Fri Jul 16 2004 11:14 AM
Re: 7/15/04 Tropics...my thoughts	James88	Fri Jul 16 2004 10:14 AM
analyze this.....	bobbi	Thu Jul 15 2004 10:34 AM
Re: 3 Areas...look again at the SW Carib as in NOW	LI Phil	Tue Jul 13 2004 01:40 PM
see if it sits	bobbi	Tue Jul 13 2004 01:48 PM
Re: see if it sits	Anonymous	Tue Jul 13 2004 04:07 PM
Re: see if it sits	LI Phil	Tue Jul 13 2004 05:38 PM
irritating small things	HanKFranK	Tue Jul 13 2004 06:31 PM
you sound testy hf, watching loops here	Bobbi	Tue Jul 13 2004 08:43 PM
Re: you sound testy hf, watching loops here	Anonymous	Wed Jul 14 2004 01:42 AM
Re: you sound testy hf, watching loops here	JasonM603	Wed Jul 14 2004 03:34 AM
Several days time?	James88	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:49 AM
Re: Several days time?	JustMe	Wed Jul 14 2004 07:53 AM
EL NINO	LONNY307	Wed Jul 14 2004 08:23 AM
Re: EL NINO	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:14 PM
Re: EL NINO	Steve	Wed Jul 14 2004 03:24 PM
Re: EL NINO	Steve Hirschb.	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:45 PM
Re: EL NINO	Steve Hirschb.	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:48 PM
Re: EL NINO	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 03:58 PM
Hot in Florida	Bobbi	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:23 PM
A repeat of 1998?	James88	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:53 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	Bobbi	Wed Jul 14 2004 04:57 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	Steve	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:18 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	HanKFranK	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:46 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:28 PM
Phil...wake up and smell the chamomille tea	Bobbi	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:55 PM
other late starts	Rabbit	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:38 PM
Re: other late starts	HanKFranK	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:53 PM
the source...	Rabbit	Wed Jul 14 2004 06:13 PM
If you actually took the time to READ my posts	LI Phil	Wed Jul 14 2004 06:34 PM
Re: the source...	Rabbit	Wed Jul 14 2004 06:20 PM
Re: A repeat of 1998?	James88	Wed Jul 14 2004 05:05 PM
Re: EL NINO	JasonM603	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:07 PM
Re: Several days time?	Steve hirsch.	Wed Jul 14 2004 07:53 AM
testy as buddha	HanKFranK	Wed Jul 14 2004 12:30 AM
Re: irritating small things	LI Phil	Tue Jul 13 2004 06:50 PM
Re: see if it sits	Steve	Tue Jul 13 2004 05:10 PM
Re: 1999	summercyclone	Wed Jul 14 2004 10:41 AM
Re: Gulf micro-low	summercyclone	Mon Jul 12 2004 03:51 PM
Re: Gulf micro-low	Steve	Mon Jul 12 2004 04:16 PM
Possible Carib system and flooding in Nepal too!	Bobbi	Mon Jul 12 2004 05:03 PM
nothing doing, still analysis time	HanKFranK	Mon Jul 12 2004 08:46 PM
Re: nothing doing, still analysis time	LI Phil	Mon Jul 12 2004 08:58 PM
CV wave too low	Bobbi	Tue Jul 13 2004 08:15 AM
NE Gulf	Bobbi	Mon Jul 12 2004 02:40 PM
hey to As IF lol	bobbi	Mon Jul 12 2004 07:53 AM
Re: Analysis	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 11 2004 05:22 PM
Re: Analysis	Anonymous	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:08 PM
Re: Analysis	Steve Hirschb.	Sun Jul 11 2004 07:12 PM
Wave in GOM and a possible circulation center ...deja vu	LoisCane	Sun Jul 11 2004 07:43 PM
Re: Analysis	Anonymous	Sun Jul 11 2004 01:19 PM
Re: Analysis	LI Phil	Sat Jul 10 2004 06:36 PM
Re: Analysis	Cycloneye	Sat Jul 10 2004 07:21 PM
Re: Analysis	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jul 11 2004 07:49 AM
Re: Analysis	James88	Sun Jul 11 2004 08:07 AM
Re: Analysis	Rabbit	Sun Jul 11 2004 10:36 AM
Re: Analysis	LI Phil	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:12 AM
Re: Analysis	tornado00	Sun Jul 11 2004 12:05 PM
What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	LoisCane	Sun Jul 11 2004 01:30 PM
Re: What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	h2ocean	Sat Jul 17 2004 08:50 PM
Re: What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	Old Sailor	Sat Jul 17 2004 09:28 PM
Re: What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	Steve Hirschb..	Sun Jul 11 2004 04:31 PM
Climo	LI Phil	Sun Jul 11 2004 05:22 PM
Re: What did I miss here.. why do you think there will be nothing til August?	James88	Sun Jul 11 2004 05:19 PM
Re: Analysis	James88	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:56 AM
Re: Analysis	James88	Sun Jul 11 2004 11:08 AM

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