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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Houstontracker
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A plot of surface data and radar loops from New Orleans at
      Mon Aug 05 2002 04:22 AM

10pm would seem to disagree with the NHC 10pm position. The winds at Boothville went from northeast with a falling pressure at 9pm to SE with a rising pressure at 10pm. The BURL1 buoy on the coast south of the mouth of the Mississippi has a west wind and rising pressure. The reporting station at Grand Ilse to the west of these has a north wind and is the only station in the vicinity that still has a falling pressure as as of 10pm. New orleans metro stations have NE winds with rising pressure. This would seem to indicate that the surface center is somewhere between Boothville, Grand Isle and the BURL1 bouy.

A check of the latest New Orleans radar loop also seems to show scattered light showers rotating cyclonicly in this area.

If the above is correct the surface low is probably moving off to the west slowly. It will be interesting to see if convection redevelops during the night near the surface low.

So yes Shawn what you see is probably the surface circulation just off the coast just to the west of Grand lLse. I don't think it's over for this system yet, tonight and tommorow will tell the tale. I think will will at least get wet in the Houston area later this week.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Bertha Forms CFHCAdministrator Mon Aug 05 2002 04:22 AM
. * * Test on 99L garyb   Mon Aug 05 2002 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Test on 99L Anonymous   Mon Aug 05 2002 06:55 PM
. * * Joe Anonymous   Mon Aug 05 2002 06:57 PM
. * * WE HAVE TD 3 WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Aug 05 2002 08:59 PM
. * * Low off South Carolina Alex k   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:14 PM
. * * 99L Anonymous (HF)   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:32 PM
. * * SE area of interest BabyCat   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:48 PM
. * * Re: SE area of interest Jason M   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:49 PM
. * * Re: 99L Anonymous   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Low off South Carolina Anonymous   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:19 PM
. * * Bertha Update Jason   Mon Aug 05 2002 04:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms AnonymousCarl   Mon Aug 05 2002 04:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms Steve   Mon Aug 05 2002 04:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms Mruck   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms ShawnS   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:31 AM
. * * A plot of surface data and radar loops from New Orleans at Houstontracker   Mon Aug 05 2002 04:22 AM
. * * Hey Shawn... Steve   Mon Aug 05 2002 04:27 AM
. * * Ended Up Being Wrong After All ShawnS   Mon Aug 05 2002 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Ended Up Being Wrong After All nickd   Mon Aug 05 2002 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Ended Up Being Wrong After All ShawnS   Mon Aug 05 2002 11:46 AM
. * * 7AM Discussion Jason   Mon Aug 05 2002 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms Joe   Mon Aug 05 2002 03:45 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms ShawnS   Mon Aug 05 2002 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms ShawnS   Mon Aug 05 2002 02:56 AM

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