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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)

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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA

Re: my analysis
Wed Jul 28 2004 05:15 PM

I'ma take issue with your analysis of the models Rabbit. Go to Google and search "known biases of forecast models" for the real story. Saying the UKMet and ECMWF are "unreliable", but that the AVN and NOGAPS are (or moderately are) is out there. Some of the models may perform better than others in certain circumstances, and everyone has their preferences. But what you posted is not accurate. (No harm no foul IMHO.)

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	MikeC	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:15 PM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Anonymous	Thu Jul 29 2004 09:20 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:15 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	LI Phil	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:25 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	caneman	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:39 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	joepub1	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:10 AM
There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:20 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:28 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	doug	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:36 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	LI Phil	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:50 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:13 PM
Pretty impressive	Kevin	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:23 PM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	Tropics Guy	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:18 PM
Models	LI Phil	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:24 PM
Re: Models	Kevin	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:36 PM
Re: There is something BIG east of the Bahamas!	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:22 PM
99L	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:16 PM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:10 PM
real quietly watching both systems...	bobbi	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:49 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:25 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:26 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	joepub1	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:31 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:33 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	joepub1	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:23 AM
Is There Something Brewing in the Gulf ?	teal61	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:45 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:45 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Old Sailor	Tue Jul 27 2004 10:33 PM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Steve	Tue Jul 27 2004 10:50 PM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	James88	Wed Jul 28 2004 06:56 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	LoisCane	Wed Jul 28 2004 07:37 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	James88	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:46 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	doug	Wed Jul 28 2004 09:35 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 09:52 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Old Sailor	Wed Jul 28 2004 12:49 PM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Anonymous	Wed Jul 28 2004 01:12 PM
Discussion	Rob_M	Wed Jul 28 2004 02:42 PM
beautiful analysis Mr. Mann	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 03:47 PM
Re: Discussion	Cycloneye	Wed Jul 28 2004 03:11 PM
Re: Discussion	Rob_M	Wed Jul 28 2004 07:19 PM
Re: Florida weather	doug	Wed Jul 28 2004 03:26 PM
face to face observation	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 04:00 PM
my analysis	Rabbit	Wed Jul 28 2004 04:41 PM
Re: my analysis	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:15 PM
Re: my analysis	Anonymous	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:31 PM
Re: my analysis	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:41 PM
TWO	DroopGB31	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:46 PM
Re: TWO	Rich B	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:51 PM
suspicion	HanKFranK	Wed Jul 28 2004 06:05 PM
Re: TWO	DroopGB31	Wed Jul 28 2004 06:01 PM
do not try this while alone	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 06:05 PM
Illin' all day	LI Phil	Wed Jul 28 2004 07:12 PM
Re: Illin' all day	Old Sailor	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:31 PM
umbrellas in florida	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:02 PM
Re: umbrellas in florida	DustDuchess	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:45 PM
Alligators on a leash...	LI Phil	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:15 PM
Re: Alligators on a leash...	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 28 2004 10:55 PM
Recovery of an Earlier Post	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 28 2004 11:02 PM
Potential?	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 06:05 AM
Re: Potential?	Rich B	Thu Jul 29 2004 06:33 AM
Re: Potential?	LoisCane	Thu Jul 29 2004 07:09 AM
Re: Potential?	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 07:23 AM
question...	LoisCane	Thu Jul 29 2004 07:40 AM
Re: question...	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 07:51 AM
Bahamian System	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 08:46 AM
Re: Bahamian System	doug	Thu Jul 29 2004 09:02 AM
Re: Bahamian System	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 09:08 AM
Re: Bahamian System	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 29 2004 09:00 AM
99L invest for east of Bahamas	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 29 2004 08:52 AM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	Alex K	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:24 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:34 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:37 PM
what happens if it doesnt move in the near term?	bobbi	Thu Jul 29 2004 01:10 PM
Keys comment	bobbi	Thu Jul 29 2004 02:56 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	Anonymous	Thu Jul 29 2004 01:05 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	Kevin	Thu Jul 29 2004 01:06 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 01:10 PM
Re: TWO	DroopGB31	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:50 PM
Re: my analysis	DroopGB31	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:38 PM
Re: my analysis	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:45 PM
Re: my analysis	Steve hirsch.	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:30 PM
IF	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 09:57 AM
Re: IF	James88	Wed Jul 28 2004 10:11 AM
Re: IF	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 10:45 AM
Re: IF	James88	Wed Jul 28 2004 11:39 AM
Cape Verde Season	rmbjoe1954	Wed Jul 28 2004 11:44 AM
NHC not into playing Fantasy Hurricane	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 12:10 PM
Is the SAL fading a bit in Atlantic?	Cycloneye	Wed Jul 28 2004 09:04 AM

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