The latest TWO sites two areas for potential development:-
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT WATERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...BUT SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW INTERACTING WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE AREA...AND SOME ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
The system east of the Bahamas looks like it is becoming better organised, so it would seem to be the area to watch. Could this be the system that the CMC model wants to take into South Carolina?
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