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#Beryl now a Hurricane with 75mph. Now Forecast to be a 120mph Major Hurricane near the Windwards on Monday. Hurricane Warnings now up for Barbados, Watches for other areas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
10.1N 49.3W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 992mb
Moving:
W at 22 mph
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Opening and Closing of Multiple Doors
      Tue Aug 03 2004 07:52 AM

Thanks Daniel for that wonderful picture show this morning. Definitely worth checking the site for that alone. Saved that nice Euromet one...worthy of having down the road.. nice pic of a system on its way somewhere... bon voyage shot.

Multiple doors out there... don't think anything is set as far as a track.

Shear out ahead looks a bit stronger than it has.. which will keep it a drop in check but also provide a sort of ventilating and will keep its size fed. High looks weaker than it is... water vapors can be deceptive and once Alex gets out of here ... will see what really happens in the environment to her NW. See how wide that door is really open or will the high travel a bit with it? Orientation of door opening and the high does not lead me to believe it will be an easy shot to slide off to sea and be a fish.

Agree Daniel..the real point of contention for most of us is the wave that will be Bonnie.

Alex is putting on quite a show and as he strengthens and how fast he goes will say a lot also about what he will leave in his wake for Bonnie to decide where to go.

Also of note.. is working out of NHC on wave closer to Africa "part of wave" and watch that dance between moisture?? to its SW and how its trying to stay to the north. Lot of connections out there.

As for the wave that should be Bonnie real soon.. she's looking really good on sats this morning. Better than Alex was when he was a TD.. and a storm.. has color. Even has color on NRL. Would venture to say that after they examine all the various data they will agree she definitely has winds over 25 mph in there..

But where? Where is the point?
Where is her true center?
Is it at 14.5 13.7?
Play all you want with ghcc site but once we get planes in there we will know for sure. And a difference of 13.5 and 14.5 can make a whole big difference in track.

Lot to think today for people... storm could affect many different areas, islands, land masses, ship routes.. or it could curve out to sea.

Place your bets .. someone will win, someone will lose.. but we will all be watching.

Bobbi

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Alex Strengthens - Hurricane Warnings up for NC MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 03 2004 07:52 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex Strengthens cyclone_head   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:42 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex Strengthens Rabbit   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:09 AM
. * * Alex Strengthens, 91L develops and 92L forms James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:14 AM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens, 91L develops and 92L forms Rabbit   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:21 AM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens, 91L develops and 92L forms h2ocean   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens, 91L develops and 92L forms Steve hirsch.   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:28 AM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens, 91L develops and 92L forms James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:31 AM
. * * Eye Forming Anonymous   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:37 AM
. * * Re: Eye Forming James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:42 AM
. * * Re: Eye Forming DustDuchess   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Eye Forming Cycloneye   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:08 AM
. * * gorgeous alex and more gorgeous waves bobbi   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Eye Forming Anonymous   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Eye Forming James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:32 AM
. * * Season heating up rickonboat   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:43 AM
. * * 91L Models LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:47 AM
. * * oh NICE... FINALLY SOMEONE WANTS TO TALK ABOUT THE WAVES :) bobbi   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:39 AM
. * * Re: oh NICE... FINALLY SOMEONE WANTS TO TALK ABOUT THE WAVES :) LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:42 AM
. * * Re: oh NICE... FINALLY SOMEONE WANTS TO TALK ABOUT THE WAVES :) h2ocean   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:59 AM
. * * Re: oh NICE... FINALLY SOMEONE WANTS TO TALK ABOUT THE WAVES :) doug   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:34 PM
. * * Re: oh NICE... FINALLY SOMEONE WANTS TO TALK ABOUT THE WAVES :) Anonymous   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:30 PM
. * * Joe (B) versus the Volcano (NHC) LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Joe (B) versus the Volcano (NHC) garyb   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:42 PM
. * * Graphical model maps LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Graphical model maps teal61   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Graphical model maps garyb   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:49 PM
. * * 91L.... rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:34 PM
. * * Re: 91L.... doug   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L.... doug   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:02 PM
. * * Re: 91L.... summercyclone   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:22 PM
. * * Re: 91L....CDO? summercyclone   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:55 PM
. * * 2 pm hurricane_run   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:54 PM
. * * Re: 2 pm hurricane_run   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Eye summercyclone   Mon Aug 02 2004 02:04 PM
. * * 17:45 T #s LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 02:25 PM
. * * 91 has one beautiful red dot on invest bobbi   Mon Aug 02 2004 02:39 PM
. * * Alex and waves Rabbit   Mon Aug 02 2004 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Alex and waves LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Alex and waves James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Alex and waves Old Sailor   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Alex and waves LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Alex and waves summercyclone   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Alex hurricane_run   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:49 PM
. * * Hurricane Warnings James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2004 04:57 PM
. * * alex, bonnie?, black out rain in miami and other tropical thoughts bobbi   Mon Aug 02 2004 05:18 PM
. * * Re: alex, bonnie?, black out rain in miami and other tropical thoughts Anonymous   Mon Aug 02 2004 05:24 PM
. * * Re: alex, bonnie?, black out rain in miami and other tropical thoughts Rich B   Mon Aug 02 2004 05:34 PM
. * * Re: alex, bonnie?, black out rain in miami and other tropical thoughts Anonymous   Mon Aug 02 2004 05:47 PM
. * * Re: alex, bonnie?, black out rain in miami and other tropical thoughts Rabbit   Mon Aug 02 2004 06:01 PM
. * * Dr. Gray's Seasonal Forecast -August Update rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 02 2004 06:15 PM
. * * Things are popping now! WxNLUcantlogin   Mon Aug 02 2004 07:18 PM
. * * 91L Jamiewx   Mon Aug 02 2004 08:09 PM
. * * activity spike HanKFranK   Mon Aug 02 2004 08:46 PM
. * * for hank LoisCane   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:52 PM
. * * Re: 91L Robert   Mon Aug 02 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2004 08:46 PM
. * * Eye of the Storm Anonymous   Mon Aug 02 2004 08:47 PM
. * * Re: 91L Model FCST danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:10 PM
. * * 92L Jamiewx   Mon Aug 02 2004 08:57 PM
. * * good idea joe LoisCane   Mon Aug 02 2004 07:12 PM
. * * Next Recon MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: alex, bonnie?, black out rain in miami and other tropical thoughts LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 05:21 PM
. * * strawberry wishes... LoisCane   Mon Aug 02 2004 07:15 PM
. * * Re: strawberry wishes... LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: strawberry wishes... danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:15 PM
. * * 988 HanKFranK   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:31 PM
. * * Re: 987mb 62kt 10mile EYE danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:38 PM
. * * alex and ??? LoisCane   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:18 PM
. * * Re: alex and ??? LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:25 PM
. * * Re: alex and ??? Jamiewx   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:33 PM
. * * Re: alex and ??? joepub1   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Alex at 11pm hurricane_run   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:43 PM
. * * Alex to 70MPH!! Anonymous   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Alex to 70MPH!! LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Alex to 70MPH!! hurricane_run   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Alex to 70MPH!! hurricane_run   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:13 PM
. * * Hurricane Alex James88   Tue Aug 03 2004 01:50 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 01:57 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 02:04 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex joepub1   Tue Aug 03 2004 02:15 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex James88   Tue Aug 03 2004 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex joepub1   Tue Aug 03 2004 02:37 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 03:46 AM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: 91L joepub1   Tue Aug 03 2004 02:47 AM
. * * Re: 91L James88   Tue Aug 03 2004 02:49 AM
. * * Re: 91L joepub1   Tue Aug 03 2004 03:04 AM
. * * Re: 91L James88   Tue Aug 03 2004 03:09 AM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 03:59 AM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 06:13 AM
. * * Re: 91L jlauderdal   Tue Aug 03 2004 06:12 AM
. * * Re: 91L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 06:24 AM
. * * Re: 91L jlauderdal   Tue Aug 03 2004 06:34 AM
. * * Re: Opening and Closing of Doors danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 06:53 AM
. * * Opening and Closing of Multiple Doors LoisCane   Tue Aug 03 2004 07:52 AM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 06:32 AM
. * * Hurricane Alex strengthens further James88   Tue Aug 03 2004 04:50 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex strengthens further Rich B   Tue Aug 03 2004 05:25 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex strengthens further James88   Tue Aug 03 2004 05:40 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex strengthens further Old Sailor   Tue Aug 03 2004 05:52 AM
. * * cant sleep LoisCane   Tue Aug 03 2004 05:15 AM
. * * Re: alex and ??? 92L? danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Alex and waves Rabbit   Mon Aug 02 2004 03:46 PM
. * * Re: 17:45 T #s James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Re: NHC hanging tough summercyclone   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:57 PM
. * * Re: 91L.... James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:54 PM
. * * Re: 91L.... LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:53 PM
. * * Re: 91L.... Old Sailor   Mon Aug 02 2004 02:01 PM
. * * Re: 91L.... Storm Cooper   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:16 PM
. * * Re: 91L.... Tropics Guy   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:19 PM
. * * I see no easterly movement... rickonboat   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:55 AM
. * * Re: I see no easterly movement... doug   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:27 PM
. * * Re: I see no easterly movement... James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:28 PM
. * * Re: I see no easterly movement... rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 02 2004 12:43 PM
. * * 11:00 Advisory James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:49 AM
. * * Some thoughts on Alex... LI Phil   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Some thoughts on Alex... Rich B   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:27 AM
. * * Re: 11:00 Advisory PFSThunder   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:01 AM
. * * Re: 11:00 Advisory cyclone_head   Mon Aug 02 2004 01:15 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 Advisory James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Season heating up James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Eye Forming James88   Mon Aug 02 2004 09:54 AM

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