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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Houstontracker
Unregistered




Latest on Bertha..
      Tue Aug 06 2002 11:11 PM

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST... OVER SALT
POINT LOUISIANA.

BERTHA HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. HOWEVER...MODEL GUIDANCE AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST
THE RESUMPTION OF A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12
HOURS. THIS TRACK WOULD BRING BERTHA OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA AND POSSIBLY THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED WHILE
THE CENTER IS OVER LAND. REFER TO THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TWOAT AND WMO HEADER ABNT2O KNHC FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
REINTENSIFICATION IF BERTHA REEMERGES OVER THE GULF COASTAL
WATERS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 13 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1011 MB. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

Hard to tell whats going on, but this is right on the coast SSE of Lafayette so I guess she's just about back over water. Guess we will know more in the morning.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms From TD3 CFHCAdministrator Tue Aug 06 2002 11:11 PM
. * * Dr. Gray Lowers Forecast Anonymous   Wed Aug 07 2002 07:37 AM
. * * Re: Dr. Gray Lowers Forecast ShawnS   Wed Aug 07 2002 08:07 AM
. * * 6AM Christobal Update Jason M   Wed Aug 07 2002 06:19 AM
. * * Atlantic Discussion (Very Interesting) Jason M   Wed Aug 07 2002 06:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms From TD3 Keith L.   Tue Aug 06 2002 11:06 PM
. * * Latest on Bertha.. Houstontracker   Tue Aug 06 2002 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms From TD3 tom5r   Tue Aug 06 2002 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms From TD3 57497479   Tue Aug 06 2002 11:09 PM
. * * 11 pm update WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Aug 06 2002 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms From TD3 Keith L.   Tue Aug 06 2002 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms From TD3 57497479   Tue Aug 06 2002 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms From TD3 57497479   Wed Aug 07 2002 12:22 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms From TD3 ShawnS   Tue Aug 06 2002 09:24 PM
. * * Excitement - I agree... Steve   Tue Aug 06 2002 09:36 PM
. * * Probabilities WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Aug 06 2002 10:32 PM

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