Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 56 (Milton) , Major: 56 (Milton) Florida - Any: 56 (Milton) Major: 56 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: 90mph and 91
      Tue Aug 03 2004 10:07 AM

Okay I've checked the new 91L models against the one from 12hrs ago. All 4 models, have reduced the latitude and lengthened the longitude. 00Z models were in the 14.1-14.7N and 57.6-59.0 range. 12Z models are showing 14.2-14.7N and 59.4-60.7W for 24hr period ending at 12Z on 80404. Intensity fcst remains at 37kts for 080404 12Z.

I don't have a lot of data on Alex's models. 12hr fcst was for 68kts. 90mph equals about 78kts. Looking back on the last 3 model outputs none of them took Alex above 77kts.
BAMD hit closest on lat/long. -0.2N/ -0.2W. Not bad at all for 12 hours. That should be about 15 miles off.

Ship report from 122nm NNE of 91L at 12Z.
C6QD2 S 1200z 15.60N -53.60W 122nm 8dg wind050@ 20.0kts - - - bar29.97 +0.00 airT82.4 seaT82.4 dpT79.9 vis6.2nm -


Edited by danielw (Tue Aug 03 2004 10:21 AM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Alex Becomes First Hurricane of Season, Skirts NC Coastline MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 03 2004 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Alexs Becomes First Hurricane of Season, Skirts NC Coastline danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Alexs Becomes First Hurricane of Season, Skirts NC Coastline summercyclone   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:00 AM
. * * Alexs Becomes First Hurricane of Season, affecting NC Coastline LoisCane   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:04 AM
. * * Re: 8AM EDT ADVISORY- 90 MPH! danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Miami we got a problem!! danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 08:12 AM
. * * Re: Miami we got a problem!! James88   Tue Aug 03 2004 08:21 AM
. * * Re: Miami we got a problem!! danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 08:34 AM
. * * 91L rmbjoe1954   Tue Aug 03 2004 08:32 AM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 08:52 AM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 09:07 AM
. * * Re: 91L James88   Tue Aug 03 2004 08:35 AM
. * * 90mph and 91 LoisCane   Tue Aug 03 2004 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Site Question Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:40 AM
. * * Td #2 hurricane_run   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Td #2 hurricane_run   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:58 AM
. * * Alex CAT 2 hurricane_run   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Alex CAT 2 hurricane_run   Tue Aug 03 2004 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Alex CAT 2 LI Phil   Tue Aug 03 2004 11:02 AM
. * * Re: 90mph and 91 summercyclone   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:07 AM
. * * Re: 90mph and 91 Anonymous   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:17 AM
. * * Re: 90mph and 91 danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 09:11 AM
. * * Re: 90mph and 91 Steve   Tue Aug 03 2004 09:40 AM
. * * Re: 90mph and 91 danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:07 AM
. * * Re: 90mph and 91 Tropics Guy   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:35 AM
. * * Re: 90mph and 91 LI Phil   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:37 AM
. * * Quick Post LI Phil   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Cape Look OUT!, NC danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:29 AM
. * * eye wall hurricane_run   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:24 AM
. * * 91L Modeling LI Phil   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:31 AM
. * * thanks everyone LoisCane   Tue Aug 03 2004 10:55 AM
. * * question on Alex and models LoisCane   Tue Aug 03 2004 09:35 AM
. * * Re: question on Alex and models hurricane_run   Tue Aug 03 2004 09:56 AM
. * * Re: Alexs Becomes First Hurricane of Season, Skirts NC Coastline Cycloneye   Tue Aug 03 2004 07:58 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 195 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 11150

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center