Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

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Last night thought it might get to Cat 2 and felt pretty sure of that this am...105 kts fl winds..if NHC accepts that, it is a 100mph cat2.

TD at 11am or maybe even ts......

Not a good day at NHC re: intensity on Alex, track a little iffy too..plus having to jump from ts warning to Hurr wng with no watch in between...we are in 1985! (Elena).

"Things' still happen...not bashing NHC , just observing...technology tells us what is happening, models are only guidance...human beings still make the decisions (and usually do better that the models when they only use them as 'guidance').

sc

and..oh yeah..hindsight is 20/20!!!

91L may be a threat if Bobbi's postulation is correct...the other one (near Africa)..fish storm, will help high amplify north of 91L....and send it more west....

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NHC has admitted many times that intensity forecasting is tricky at best. This will be an excellant post-season case study.

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