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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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danielwAdministrator
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Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: XTD2-old model fcst
      Thu Aug 05 2004 07:33 AM

If you look a few posts back I listed the 00Z model plots for XTD2.
I used A98E points for the track, endpoint was A98E and BAMM, as the fcst had them at the same endpoint, at 8/10 00Z.
From present position, to over Kingston, Jamaica-08/08 00Z; then over the Isle of Youth, Cuba-08/09 06Z; then to a point due west of Key West/ mid Yucatan Channel.
This point is exactly 1.1deg east of where Camille was plotted on 8/16/1969 at 18Z.
Let's just hope the rest of the similarities Do Not present themselves.
http://environmentalphilosophy.org/homepages/roger_pielke/camille/figures/fig1b.gif

The 8/10/04 1000Z endpoint is 400 miles SE of the Mouth of the MS River

Edited by danielw (Thu Aug 05 2004 08:36 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Alex Strengthens while TD#2 Finally Falls Apart MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 05 2004 07:33 AM
. * * Good weekend to do yardwork?? cyclone_head   Sat Aug 07 2004 12:10 PM
. * * Administrative Post - Clarifications Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Administrative Post - Clarifications rickonboat   Fri Aug 06 2004 12:42 PM
. * * Clarifications-well put Rick bobbi   Fri Aug 06 2004 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Clarifications-well put Rick cyclone_head   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Clarifications-well put Rick Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:00 PM
. * * model runs bobbi   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:21 PM
. * * Re: model runs Hardcore   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Clarifications-well put Rick andy1tom   Fri Aug 06 2004 01:34 PM
. * * still looking for Storm 2 K Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 01:51 PM
. * * Re: still looking for Storm 2 K Steve   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:03 PM
. * * My $.02 LI Phil   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Re: My $.02 James88   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:41 PM
. * * "Now Lets Talk About the Weather" Bobbi   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:37 PM
. * * oh my gosh.. look bobbi   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:40 PM
. * * Re: oh my gosh.. look summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:32 PM
. * * locating lows bobbi   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:51 PM
. * * Re: locating lows Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 04:25 PM
. * * Re: locating lows Steve   Fri Aug 06 2004 04:35 PM
. * * Re: locating lows summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:51 PM
. * * Re: locating lows Ed in Va   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Low? summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Low? Anonymous   Sat Aug 07 2004 12:25 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Low? LI Phil   Fri Aug 06 2004 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Low? summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Low? Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 09:09 PM
. * * IWIC 5:00 Forecast LI Phil   Fri Aug 06 2004 09:32 PM
. * * Re: IWIC 5:00 Forecast LoisCane   Fri Aug 06 2004 10:21 PM
. * * shorter/pointed HanKFranK   Fri Aug 06 2004 11:03 PM
. * * Clarifying the Clarification Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 07 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Clarifying the Clarification Steve Hirscshb.   Sat Aug 07 2004 01:12 AM
. * * Thanks ED LI Phil   Sat Aug 07 2004 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Thanks ED GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 07 2004 02:12 AM
. * * Re: Thanks ED BillD   Sat Aug 07 2004 02:41 AM
. * * Re: Off east coast Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 09:48 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future doug   Fri Aug 06 2004 05:08 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future Steve   Fri Aug 06 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 06:23 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future javlin   Fri Aug 06 2004 06:49 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 06:53 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 07:08 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 07:24 PM
. * * Dead Friday... LI Phil   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Dead Friday... Old Sailor   Sat Aug 07 2004 03:21 AM
. * * resurrection saturday? HanKFranK   Sat Aug 07 2004 05:58 AM
. * * Re: resurrection saturday? Old Sailor   Sat Aug 07 2004 09:44 AM
. * * Re: resurrection saturday? javlin   Sat Aug 07 2004 12:12 PM
. * * Re: EX TD2 & 92L Tropics Guy   Sat Aug 07 2004 12:34 PM
. * * Re: EX TD2 & 92L Storm Cooper   Sat Aug 07 2004 01:10 PM
. * * Re: EX TD2 & 92L doug   Sat Aug 07 2004 01:40 PM
. * * Re: EX TD2 & 92L Storm Cooper   Sat Aug 07 2004 02:09 PM
. * * Sattiday mornin' JB LI Phil   Sat Aug 07 2004 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Dead Friday... summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Dead Friday... LI Phil   Fri Aug 06 2004 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Dead Friday... bobbi   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: South of Jamaica teal61   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:00 PM
. * * Re: South of Jamaica Steve Hirschb.   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Re: South of Jamaica summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:56 PM
. * * Re: South of Jamaica teal61   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: XTD2 future javlin   Fri Aug 06 2004 07:07 PM
. * * Re: 92L & shear Tropics Guy   Fri Aug 06 2004 05:51 PM
. * * Re: 92L & shear bobbi   Fri Aug 06 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Re: locating lows/steve's post bobbi   Fri Aug 06 2004 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Dr Gs forecast summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 04:31 PM
. * * Re: El Nino Tropics Guy   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Administrative Post - Clarifications Steve hirschb.   Fri Aug 06 2004 01:19 PM
. * * Storm 2K Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 12:53 PM
. * * Possible Rotation Cocoa Beach   Thu Aug 05 2004 04:34 PM
. * * Re: Possible Rotation Steve hirsch.   Thu Aug 05 2004 04:53 PM
. * * Surprises in the basin bobbi   Thu Aug 05 2004 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Surprises in the basin summercyclone   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:09 PM
. * * okay..calm down.. bobbi   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:19 PM
. * * Re: okay..calm down.. clarification bobbi   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:22 PM
. * * Re: okay..calm down.. clarification Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:28 PM
. * * Re: okay..calm down.. clarification Hardcore   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:33 PM
. * * the unclassified Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: the unclassified ClarkE   Thu Aug 05 2004 10:39 PM
. * * to all the El Niño speculators... Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Re: to all the El Niño speculators... Anonymous   Thu Aug 05 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: to all the El Niño speculators... Steve   Thu Aug 05 2004 08:47 PM
. * * Re: to all the El Niño speculators... doug   Thu Aug 05 2004 08:55 PM
. * * Re: to all the El Niño speculators... PFSThunder   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:07 PM
. * * 91L Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:11 PM
. * * Re: 91L summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:11 PM
. * * Re: 91L Anonymous   Thu Aug 05 2004 10:16 PM
. * * Re: 91L jlauderdal   Thu Aug 05 2004 10:57 PM
. * * 92L BugsBunny   Thu Aug 05 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: 91L Steve hirschb.   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:20 PM
. * * Re: 91L BugsBunny   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:27 PM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 11:22 PM
. * * responses HanKFranK   Fri Aug 06 2004 12:27 AM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 06 2004 12:11 AM
. * * Re: 91L Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 12:20 AM
. * * Re: 91L danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 06 2004 01:08 AM
. * * Re: 91L javlin   Fri Aug 06 2004 02:46 AM
. * * thoughts for the day LoisCane   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:16 AM
. * * Re: 91L BillD   Fri Aug 06 2004 12:32 AM
. * * Re: 91L Anonymous   Fri Aug 06 2004 12:53 AM
. * * Re: 91L LI Phil   Fri Aug 06 2004 12:40 AM
. * * Re: 91L LoisCane   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:37 AM
. * * Re: Carib. Update danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 06 2004 05:52 AM
. * * Re: 06Z Tropics Shot danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 06 2004 06:55 AM
. * * Alex heading for the UK? Rich B   Fri Aug 06 2004 10:21 AM
. * * There is a brief low in atlantic activity Cycloneye   Fri Aug 06 2004 10:24 AM
. * * Re: There is a brief low in atlantic activity Steve hirschb.   Fri Aug 06 2004 11:41 AM
. * * Re: There is a brief low in atlantic activity ticka1   Fri Aug 06 2004 01:07 PM
. * * Another area to watch? WXMAN RICHIE   Thu Aug 05 2004 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Another area to watch? summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Another area to watch? andy1tom   Fri Aug 06 2004 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Another area to watch? Storm Cooper   Fri Aug 06 2004 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Alex's sister? summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Alex's sister? summercyclone   Fri Aug 06 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Alex's sister? LoisCane   Sun Aug 08 2004 04:49 AM
. * * Re: Alex's sister? caneman   Fri Aug 06 2004 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Another area to watch? Hardcore   Fri Aug 06 2004 05:24 PM
. * * Done LI Phil   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: 91L Anonymous   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:18 PM
. * * Re: 91L ErinAndOpal95   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: 92L summercyclone   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:03 PM
. * * el nino shmino rickonboat   Thu Aug 05 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: okay..calm down.. clarification Robert   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Surprises in the basin Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 05:31 PM
. * * giggling, rofl.. sorry rabbiT bobbi   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:54 PM
. * * ps..question regarding outflow boundaries and inflow bobbi   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:57 PM
. * * Re: ps..question regarding outflow boundaries and inflow Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:59 PM
. * * Re: ps..question regarding outflow boundaries and inflow bobbi   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:09 PM
. * * T-numbers up James88   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:24 PM
. * * Re: T-numbers up javlin   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Surprises in the basin javlin   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:23 PM
. * * its over in the caribbean Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Surprises in the basin andy1tom   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Surprises in the basin javlin   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Surprises in the basin andy1tom   Thu Aug 05 2004 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Surprises in the basin javlin   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:05 PM
. * * Re: Surprises in the basin summercyclone   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens while TD#2 Finally Falls Apart EriktheFled   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:04 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM Old Sailor   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:16 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM BillD   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:09 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM javlin   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:22 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM HanKFranK   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:53 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM javlin   Thu Aug 05 2004 05:42 AM
. * * Re: XTD2-old model fcst danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 07:33 AM
. * * Re: XTD2-demise danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:35 AM
. * * Re: XTD2-demise h2ocean   Thu Aug 05 2004 11:22 AM
. * * Re: XTD2-demise Steve hirsch.   Thu Aug 05 2004 11:44 AM
. * * Re: XTD2-demise Anonymous   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:34 PM
. * * Re: XTD2-demise andy1tom   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:36 PM
. * * Re: XTD2-demise Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:45 PM
. * * Re: XTD2-demise andy1tom   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:59 PM
. * * Not Gone, but coming back? ErinAndOpal95   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Not Gone, but coming back? Steve   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Not Gone, but coming back? James88   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Not Gone, but coming back? Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Not Gone, but coming back? ErinAndOpal95   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Not Gone, but coming back? Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:31 PM
. * * 91L &92L LI Phil   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:43 PM
. * * Re: 91L &92L summercyclone   Thu Aug 05 2004 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Not Gone, but coming back? ErinAndOpal95   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Not Gone, but coming back? Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Not Gone, but coming back? Rabbit   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:49 PM
. * * Re: XTD2-demise rickonboat   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:55 PM
. * * Still a CAT 3 James88   Thu Aug 05 2004 09:01 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 04:32 AM
. * * Re: What's up with the forecast? danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 05:40 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM javlin   Thu Aug 05 2004 04:24 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 03:41 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:49 AM
. * * Re: TD#2 and look to the GOM Tropics Guy   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:58 AM
. * * Alex a CAT 3!!! recmod   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:54 AM
. * * Re: Alex a CAT 3!!! LI Phil   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:58 AM
. * * Re: Alex a CAT 3!!! cyclone_head   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:09 AM
. * * Re: Alex a CAT 3!!! LI Phil   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:59 AM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens while TD#2 Finally Falls Apart cyclone_head   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens while TD#2 Finally Falls Apart BillD   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:06 AM
. * * Re: San Juan NEXRAD danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:14 AM
. * * Re: XTD2 danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 05 2004 01:53 AM
. * * Re: XTD2 jth   Thu Aug 05 2004 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens while TD#2 Finally Falls Apart Cycloneye   Thu Aug 05 2004 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Alex Strengthens while TD#2 Finally Falls Apart LI Phil   Thu Aug 05 2004 12:47 AM

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