F

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

None

HypeScale: 0.25

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Anonymous
Unregistered

Re: Random replies
Fri Aug 09 2002 05:25 AM

Interesting discourse there guys, and I agree. What I don't agree with is Dr. Gray's revised forecast nor NOAA's revisions which came out immediately following Gray's as if somehow his reduction in the number of storms demanded a similar response from the NOAA. If indeed the season's activity is already 1/3 or 3/7 complete, it's going to be "mostly" a pretty boring storm season. 9 named storms? 7-10 named storms? How can this be? Oh yeah - it's the MODERATE EL NINO! Well I don't see it. I check out the SST anomolies every day, and to my untrained eye, there's hardly a menacing El Nino out there to stunt the growth of or shear storms this year.

Anyway it's apparent to me that we're going to have some excitement on this side of the Atlantic no matter how many storms eventually become classified. I'm glad Ed mentioned 10/46, because the first site I went to after I checked on some Saints news, was the Goes 8. There is a tiny bit of convection near 10-50 (wave extending north of 20) which looks quite a bit like the blow-up we saw yesterday north of PR did a few days ago.

This is what I can see on the WV and IR this morning: There is convection @ 21/80 just east of the nose end of the trof south of Cuba which appears to be a tropical wave sandwiched between an ULL centered over Haiti to the east and a splitting trof to the NW. There also appears to be mid-level circulation around 78/24 (northern and central Bahamas) being aided by some upper divergence which seems to be some energy left over from the front and/or Christobal. That environment looks fairly hostile and confused right now, but most of the tropical energy seems to be in a box between 15, 25, 75 and 85. It's anyone's guess as to whether conditions become more favorable in the next 2-4 days down there, but that's where the energy is right now. And if something was to form in our hemisphere in the near-term, it's going to be from some of this energy. Things should be apparent (one way or the other) by Sunday.

Steve

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
The Return of Bertha	CFHC	Fri Aug 09 2002 05:25 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	atlantic swirl	Sun Aug 11 2002 09:29 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	squirralee	Mon Aug 12 2002 01:16 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Larry	Mon Aug 12 2002 01:50 PM
atlantic swirl	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Aug 11 2002 10:37 PM
atlantic swirl 2	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Aug 11 2002 10:44 PM
atlantic swirl 3	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Aug 11 2002 11:49 PM
Re: atlantic swirl 3	Jason M	Mon Aug 12 2002 12:14 AM
Re: atlantic swirl 3	Rich B	Mon Aug 12 2002 03:35 AM
Re: atlantic swirl 3	Anonymous Kimmie	Mon Aug 12 2002 10:35 AM
Re: atlantic swirl 3	jth	Mon Aug 12 2002 10:43 AM
90L.. invest 11	Anonymous (HF)	Mon Aug 12 2002 11:17 AM
Re: 90L.. invest 11	Anonymous	Mon Aug 12 2002 02:52 PM
42w	Anonymous (HF)	Mon Aug 12 2002 03:09 PM
Re: 90L.. invest 11	Anonymous	Mon Aug 12 2002 12:11 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Sun Aug 11 2002 04:42 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Mon Aug 12 2002 06:05 PM
Three areas of concern in the Atl.	Kevin	Mon Aug 12 2002 07:03 PM
Re: Three areas of concern in the Atl.	Anonymous	Mon Aug 12 2002 07:20 PM
90L	Anonymous (HF)	Mon Aug 12 2002 08:41 PM
Updated Discussion Including Thoughts on Rest of Season	Jason M	Mon Aug 12 2002 09:43 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	garyb	Mon Aug 12 2002 01:54 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous-doug	Mon Aug 12 2002 02:21 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Mon Aug 12 2002 03:06 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous-doug	Mon Aug 12 2002 10:11 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 10:06 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	ShawnS	Sat Aug 10 2002 10:16 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 05:11 PM
North of PR looks very interesting......	SirCane	Thu Aug 08 2002 11:46 AM
Hey Sir...	Steve	Thu Aug 08 2002 11:55 AM
North of PR?	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 12:08 PM
Cane Man	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 10:47 AM
Musings...	Steve	Thu Aug 08 2002 11:09 AM
Re: Musings...	ShawnS	Thu Aug 08 2002 11:15 AM
Re: Musings...	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 11:51 AM
Re: Musings...	ShawnS	Thu Aug 08 2002 12:19 PM
Re: Cane Man	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 10:58 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Alan	Thu Aug 08 2002 09:47 AM
Tropical Discussions Updated	Jason M	Sun Aug 11 2002 09:27 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	caneman	Thu Aug 08 2002 09:53 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Rickoshade	Thu Aug 08 2002 10:06 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 09:28 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	caneman	Thu Aug 08 2002 09:37 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	ShawnS	Thu Aug 08 2002 09:34 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Caneman	Thu Aug 08 2002 09:43 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	ShawnS	Thu Aug 08 2002 09:52 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 03:56 PM
Random thoughts...	wxman007	Thu Aug 08 2002 05:14 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 02:33 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 05:04 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Bruce	Sat Aug 10 2002 05:19 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sun Aug 11 2002 02:18 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:48 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	ShawnS	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:53 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 07:02 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	57497479	Sat Aug 10 2002 07:29 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	ShawnS	Sat Aug 10 2002 09:36 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Bruce	Sat Aug 10 2002 09:49 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Bruce	Sun Aug 11 2002 08:18 AM
Re: Random thoughts...	Bruce	Sun Aug 11 2002 06:56 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Kevin	Sun Aug 11 2002 11:05 AM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sun Aug 11 2002 12:22 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	57497479	Sun Aug 11 2002 12:44 PM
Some of that nasty NW Gulf rain is moving through here now.	Anonymous	Sun Aug 11 2002 02:19 PM
Re: Some of that nasty NW Gulf rain is moving through here now.	57497479	Sun Aug 11 2002 04:10 PM
abc...	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Aug 11 2002 05:16 PM
Re: abc...	Anonymous	Sun Aug 11 2002 08:32 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	ShawnS	Sat Aug 10 2002 07:16 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:43 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous-Carl	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:42 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:33 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:36 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:40 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous-Carl	Sat Aug 10 2002 05:33 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Hurric	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:32 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 06:28 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Fri Aug 09 2002 08:35 AM
Waiting!	ShawnS	Fri Aug 09 2002 09:23 AM
Random replies	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 08 2002 10:58 PM
Re: Random replies	wxman007	Thu Aug 08 2002 11:13 PM
Re: Random replies	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 08 2002 11:37 PM
Re: Random replies	Anonymous	Fri Aug 09 2002 05:25 AM
One more thing...	Anonymous	Fri Aug 09 2002 05:35 AM
Re: One more thing...	Anonymous	Fri Aug 09 2002 11:03 AM
Shawn	Steve	Fri Aug 09 2002 11:12 AM
Maybe???	ShawnS	Fri Aug 09 2002 02:51 PM
Re: Maybe???	Anonymous	Fri Aug 09 2002 06:18 PM
Re: Maybe???	ShawnS	Fri Aug 09 2002 07:01 PM
Hey Jason...	Anonymous	Fri Aug 09 2002 09:26 PM
Re: Hey Jason...	ShawnS	Fri Aug 09 2002 10:35 PM
Re: Hey Jason...	Anonymous	Fri Aug 09 2002 11:57 PM
Re: Hey Jason...	wxman007	Sat Aug 10 2002 08:14 AM
Re: Hey Jason...	Anonymous	Sat Aug 10 2002 08:45 AM
Well...	wxman007	Fri Aug 09 2002 07:00 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 06:34 PM
Re: Random thoughts...	57497479	Thu Aug 08 2002 10:54 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	jth	Thu Aug 08 2002 05:05 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 03:47 PM
If Chris heads NE...	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 01:06 PM
Re: If Chris heads NE...	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 03:44 PM
Re: If Chris heads NE...	caneman	Thu Aug 08 2002 01:14 PM
Re: If Chris heads NE...	Hurric	Thu Aug 08 2002 01:25 PM
Re: If Chris heads NE...	ShawnS	Thu Aug 08 2002 01:37 PM
Seems that Bertha has stalled..	Houstontracker	Thu Aug 08 2002 02:16 PM
Re: Seems that Bertha has stalled..	ShawnS	Thu Aug 08 2002 03:20 PM
Re: Seems that Bertha has stalled..	caneman	Thu Aug 08 2002 03:30 PM
Trof Splits...	Steve	Thu Aug 08 2002 02:15 PM
Re: Trof Splits...	Hurric	Thu Aug 08 2002 10:57 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Hurric	Thu Aug 08 2002 10:41 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	caneman	Thu Aug 08 2002 09:18 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Anonymous	Thu Aug 08 2002 07:33 AM
CRISTOBAL Left Behind?	Larry	Thu Aug 08 2002 06:52 AM
Bertha Very Weak	greg-kfdmtv	Wed Aug 07 2002 06:23 PM
Re: Bertha Very Weak	ShawnS	Wed Aug 07 2002 06:46 PM
Re: Bertha Very Weak	ShawnS	Wed Aug 07 2002 07:31 PM
Re: Bertha Very Weak	ShawnS	Wed Aug 07 2002 08:14 PM
Re: Bertha Very Weak	ShawnS	Wed Aug 07 2002 09:24 PM
Nothing personal Shawn	Anonymous	Wed Aug 07 2002 09:28 PM
Re: Nothing personal Shawn	Anonymous	Wed Aug 07 2002 09:35 PM
Re: Nothing personal Shawn	ShawnS	Wed Aug 07 2002 09:32 PM
Re: Nothing personal Shawn	Anonymous	Wed Aug 07 2002 09:35 PM
Re: Nothing personal Shawn	ShawnS	Wed Aug 07 2002 09:41 PM
Re: Nothing personal Shawn	Anonymous	Wed Aug 07 2002 09:44 PM
Re: Nothing personal Shawn	ShawnS	Wed Aug 07 2002 09:48 PM
Re: Nothing personal Shawn	Robert	Thu Aug 08 2002 01:02 AM
Re: Nothing personal Shawn	Robert	Thu Aug 08 2002 01:18 AM
Re: The Return of Bertha	J.J.	Wed Aug 07 2002 05:16 PM
Re: The Return of Bertha	Rickoshade	Wed Aug 07 2002 05:07 PM

Extra information

0 registered and 175 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:

Thread views: 15088

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center