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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Idalia) , Major: 285 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 285 (Idalia) Major: 285 (Idalia)
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum
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Kevin
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Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Re: Area of Concern - Africa
      Sat Aug 10 2002 02:05 PM

I agree on the basis that we have to watch this one. It has a very significant area of convection right near the center of its axis and is very broad overall. The only inhibiting factors at this time are the cooler than normal waters and moderate subsidence, which btw, is forecasted to finally become minimal as an anticyclone in the upper-levels moves out into the Atlantic. There is also a wave ahead of this one with a 1010 mb low that will be worth watching as it moves westward into a more favorable environment. Granted the current pattern of a strong high locking up across the Atlantic through September, at least, and with the way Christobal barely got turned out to sea by the infamous "trough", it would not surprise me at all to see a major hurricane make landfall on the East Coast in the next 10-30 days. We could also even get two majors for the season...one in September perhaps. What do you think about the landfall situation Ed?
Kevin

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Concern - Africa Ed DunhamAdministrator Sat Aug 10 2002 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Africa Kevin   Sat Aug 10 2002 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Africa Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 11 2002 01:30 PM

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