Quote: Well, NHC says it still moving toward the north, Phil, can you get the 11am Discussion yet, or is it slow being updated?
Hurricane Charley Discussion Number 17
Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on August 13, 2004
Aircraft...satellite and radar indicate that Charley remains on track with an initial motion of 360/16. The global model guidance is in fairly good agreement about the motion accelerating north-northeastward during the next two days after which Charley is expected to become extratropical. The forecast track is similar to the previous advisory except adjusted slightly to the right. The forecast track and intensity is for winds near hurricane force along and near the Georgia coast as Charley GOES by and a Hurricane Watch has been issued to alert to this possibility. A tropical storm watch is also extended northward along the North Carolina coast.
An eyewall dropsonde at about 12z indicated that the maximum surface winds are still near 95 kts. A closed 10-mile diameter eyewall persists and the pressure has dropped 5 mb to 965 mb during the past two hours suggesting that there could be some additional strengthening during the next several hours before landfall on the Florida West Coast. Thereafter the GFS and other models show the strong winds expanding on the east side of the storm as it moves near the U.S. East Coast. Forecaster Lawrence
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