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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
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ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
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Ene at 17 mph
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Nnw at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1299
Re: TD5 model runs
      Sat Aug 14 2004 10:06 AM

Have it basically a strong Cat 1 just southwest of Cuba's Isle of Youth in 5 days... track is eerily similar to Charleys up to that point... However, I don't think we'll see that sharp turn to the north that Charley took after that... we'll see...

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* Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 14 2004 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing bigjohnflorida   Wed Aug 25 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing StormLover   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2004 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing StormLover   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing Anonymous   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing Chatty   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing alan   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:05 PM
. * * Tornadoes Jamiewx   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:01 PM
. * * South Carolina rjp   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:06 PM
. * * Arcadia FL Update WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:10 PM
. * * Early Rain Band recmod   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Early Rain Band recmod   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:28 PM
. * * Ominous Picture La Girl   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Ominous Picture Jeffmidtown   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Ominous Picture StormHound   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Ominous Picture Ronn   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Weather Conditions Jamiewx   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions OrlandoWaiting   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions alan   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions Anonymous   Fri Aug 20 2004 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions OrlandoWaiting   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:04 PM
. * * Peak Gusts? RichD   Sat Aug 14 2004 07:20 AM
. * * Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 08:39 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 08:41 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Frank P   Sat Aug 14 2004 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Roberta   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:28 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos joepub1   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Karen   Sun Aug 15 2004 12:37 PM
. * * joepub and wxwatcherdeux LI Phil   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Jeffmidtown   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Wxwatcher2   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos LI Phil   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Roberta   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Wxwatcher2   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Kimster   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:01 PM
. * * Earl next rickonboat   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Earl next StormLover   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Earl next rickonboat   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Earl next GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Earl next Rabbit   Sat Aug 14 2004 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Earl next James88   Sat Aug 14 2004 01:47 PM
. * * Re: Earl next BillD   Sat Aug 14 2004 03:16 PM
. * * Final Analysis on Charley FlaRebel   Sat Aug 14 2004 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Final Analysis on Charley Londovir   Sat Aug 14 2004 03:01 PM
. * * Arcadia damage Aunt Debbie S   Sat Aug 14 2004 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Arcadia damage Anonymous   Wed Aug 25 2004 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Arcadia damage Anonymous   Tue Aug 17 2004 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Arcadia damage LI Phil   Tue Aug 17 2004 01:47 PM
. * * Re: Arcadia damage Anonymous   Tue Aug 17 2004 01:23 PM
. * * Viper radar Pics of Charley WOW 1234   Sat Aug 14 2004 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Viper radar Pics of Charley WOW Tom U.   Mon Aug 16 2004 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Final Analysis on Charley bsnyder   Sat Aug 14 2004 03:15 PM
. * * TD5 update Jamiewx   Sat Aug 14 2004 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Final Analysis on Charley DroopGB31   Sat Aug 14 2004 03:12 PM
. * * Evacuations bsnyder   Sat Aug 14 2004 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Evacuations Ricreig   Mon Aug 16 2004 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos Rich B   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos LI Phil   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:18 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos joepub1   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Preliminary Damage Photos PFSThunder   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:09 AM
. * * lee/charlotte/desoto/hardee HanKFranK   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:34 AM
. * * Re: lee/charlotte/desoto/hardee Kimster   Sat Aug 14 2004 11:34 AM
. * * TD 5 Model runs Frank P   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:24 AM
. * * Re: TD 5 Model runs LI Phil   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:28 AM
. * * Re: TD 5 Model runs 52255225   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:26 AM
. * * Re: TD5 model runs Frank P   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:06 AM
. * * Re: TD5 model runs joepub1   Sat Aug 14 2004 10:34 AM
. * * Here we go again!! Jamiewx   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:25 AM
. * * Re: Here we go again!! Frank P   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Here we go again!! Terri   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Here we go again!! LI Phil   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:49 AM
. * * Re: Here we go again!! 52255225   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Here we go again!! Frank P   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:52 AM
. * * Re: Here we go again!! Frank P   Sat Aug 14 2004 09:40 AM
. * * Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 08:38 AM
. * * Preliminary Damage Photos recmod   Sat Aug 14 2004 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions Wxwatcher2   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions Floridacane   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions Jeffmidtown   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions Jeffmidtown   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:51 PM
. * * Cape Canaveral report troy2   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:51 PM
. * * Re: Cape Canaveral report troy2   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Impressive Wind Jamiewx   Fri Aug 13 2004 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Impressive Wind danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 09:10 PM
. * * Danny-boy LI Phil   Fri Aug 13 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Impressive Wind WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Aug 13 2004 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Impressive Wind danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Impressive Wind Frank P   Fri Aug 13 2004 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Impressive Wind danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Impressive Wind recmod   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:23 PM
. * * NOAA Weather Radio Jamiewx   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:29 PM
. * * Re: NOAA Weather Radio danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Re: NOAA Weather Radio Jamiewx   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:40 PM
. * * Re: NOAA Weather Radio Aunt Debbie S   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:44 PM
. * * Re:Local Storm Reports danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Re:Local Storm Reports Aunt Debbie S   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:17 PM
. * * Re:Charley danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:25 PM
. * * Re:Charley Wxwatcher2   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:03 AM
. * * Re:Charley palmetto   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:32 PM
. * * Re:Charley Steve   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:46 PM
. * * Re:Charley wxman007   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:50 PM
. * * Re:Charley danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:42 PM
. * * Re:Daytona Weather danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:44 PM
. * * Re:Peak Winds at airports danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:57 PM
. * * Re: NOAA Weather Radio BabyCat   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:33 PM
. * * Some reports.... wxman007   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Some reports.... Ormond Suzie   Fri Aug 13 2004 11:16 PM
. * * Re: Some reports.... BabyCat   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Some reports.... SirCane   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:54 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions BillD   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 09:52 PM
. * * Orlando report Clark   Fri Aug 13 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Charley's future Clark   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:00 AM
. * * Re: Charley's future danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:32 AM
. * * Re: Charley's future Clark   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:43 AM
. * * Re: Charley's future SirCane   Sat Aug 14 2004 01:25 AM
. * * Re: Charley's past danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:48 AM
. * * Re: Charley's past DroopGB31   Sat Aug 14 2004 01:39 AM
. * * Re: Charley's past danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 14 2004 01:57 AM
. * * Re: Charley Recon Fix danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 14 2004 01:58 AM
. * * Danielle & Earl LI Phil   Sat Aug 14 2004 05:06 AM
. * * Re: Danielle & Earl AngB   Sat Aug 14 2004 05:12 AM
. * * Re: Danielle & Earl James88   Sat Aug 14 2004 05:57 AM
. * * Re: Charley's future Steve   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:35 AM
. * * More reports Clark   Sat Aug 14 2004 12:21 AM
. * * Hunter's Creek Area StormHound   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:17 PM
. * * charlie Anonymous   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:19 PM
. * * Re: charlie DMFischer   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: charlie alan   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:33 PM
. * * Re: charlie Clark   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:40 PM
. * * charlie/ORlando Aunt Debbie S   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: charlie Aunt Debbie   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:25 PM
. * * Re: charlie OrlandoWaiting   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:21 PM
. * * Hey, Orlando waiting... LI Phil   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Hey, Orlando waiting... MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions OrlandoWaiting   Fri Aug 13 2004 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions AgentB   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Weather Conditions h2ocean   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Ominous Picture Jeffmidtown   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Ominous Picture BillD   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Ominous Picture Tanbark   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:37 PM
. * * SW Orlando StormHound   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:43 PM
. * * Disney under the gun... LI Phil   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:36 PM
. * * Re: Disney under the gun... Wxwatcher2   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Early Rain Band Chad   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Early Rain Band alan   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Early Rain Band StormHound   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Arcadia FL Update Jeffmidtown   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing Anonymous   Fri Aug 13 2004 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing Michelle   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:16 PM
. * * Flights LI Phil   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Flights GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:09 PM
. * * Polk County Colleen A.   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Polk County SirCane   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:07 PM
. * * close to home HanKFranK   Fri Aug 13 2004 06:21 PM
. * * Re: close to home -- storm report spookmcg   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:42 PM
. * * An update and a thanks LI Phil   Fri Aug 13 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Polk County WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Polk County StormHound   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Polk County DMFischer   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Flights WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Flights AmateurJohn   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:24 PM
. * * Arcadia FL WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Flights StormHound   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Stormhound... LI Phil   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:31 PM
. * * Highest Winds WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Flights Anonymous   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Category 4 Hurricane Charley Landfalls north of Ft. Myers Central Florida Bracing palmetto   Fri Aug 13 2004 05:01 PM

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