Been kinda watching this system over the past 12-18 hours or so... last vis sat pixs shows a strong outflow boundry to the west-northwest of the system, which certainly does not bode well for development any time soon... it is getting a little more attention from the NHC at the 11:30 outlook update...still hauling butt off to the west, looks due west at the moment, its still fighting the shear monster, and I just can't find any real or consistent hint of rotation at any level, at the moment...
be that as it may... its August, and we have a significant cluster of thunderstorm activity approaching an area that climatologically supports tropical development, satellite pixs are rather impressive, but NOT organized, and SSTs are right... anything IS possible
regardless, if any thing were to develop, steering currents as they stand right now, would in all probability take the system into central america, or perhaps the Yucatan., similar to the path of Earl...
bottom line, just a lot of premature speculation on my part as things still seem rather quite, but at least there is a little action nearby... that's what makes them so interesting to monitor....
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