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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: Typhoon Chaba
      Mon Aug 23 2004 08:43 AM

That latest advisory package sure was a marked change from the previous two -- instead of calling for 48hr of strengthening, calling for immediate weakening. But, you're absolutely right - though Isabel may have been an exception, storms rarely maintain this sort of intensity for very long.

The track has also changed singificantly, not good news for Japan. Previously, the storm was expected to take a hard turn to the right later in the forecast period, taking it out to sea between Japan and Iwo Jima. Now, that turn to the right isn't expected, placing the storm in direct aim of Tokyo. That's probably partially an artifact of not remaining so strong through the forecast period, among other things.

Still one to follow for the next 5 days...

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Typhoon Chaba StormLover Mon Aug 23 2004 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Clark   Sun Aug 22 2004 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Clark   Sun Aug 22 2004 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Keith234   Sun Aug 22 2004 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Clark   Sun Aug 22 2004 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Clark   Mon Aug 23 2004 01:29 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Keith234   Mon Aug 23 2004 07:42 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba James88   Mon Aug 23 2004 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Keith234   Mon Aug 23 2004 09:24 AM
. * * Back to Supertyphoon Strength Keith234   Tue Aug 24 2004 08:33 AM
. * * Supertyphoon Chaba Keith234   Tue Aug 24 2004 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Supertyphoon Chaba HanKFranK   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Supertyphoon Chaba Keith234   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Clark   Mon Aug 23 2004 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chaba Keith234   Sun Aug 22 2004 03:35 PM

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