#HurricaneBeryl is undergoing an ERC. Windfield may expand and still likely a Major during passage through Windwards. #TropicalStormChris making landfall in W Gulf.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
305 (Idalia)
, Major:
305 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 305 (Idalia)
Major:
305 (Idalia)
Looks like I was a bit too hasty myself with the WNW track; Frances's track has been consistently left of the forecast. If that bias continues, it may clip the NE Antilles in a few days.
Frances has a lot going for it on its current track. There are warm SST anomalies of about 0.5 C along its forecast path, and north of the Antilles the SSTs will be especially favorable, 29 C <. Its rather small size--which seems to be typical of storms this year--is another plus, as it allows for rapid changes in intensity (up *or* down, it should be noted). So for now, I have to agree with the Floyd or Isabel analogue crowd, though I'm still not going so far as to expect landfall on the East Coast at this stage of the game.
0 registered and 578 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 33723
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center