Development chances in the Gulf of Mexico are going up and a named storm could be approaching the US next week. Very active period continues. Flhurricane.com
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
7 (Helene)
, Major:
7 (Helene)
Florida - Any: 7 (Helene)
Major:
7 (Helene)
I think that they're seven variables that are used in all of the models, at least for regular meteorology(not tropical). The saying that I always use if I have inaccurate forecasts is that are seven variables and only six equations to solve for the seven unknowns, that's why it is so hard to figure out weather. Hurricanes are different because they are heat engines, and since we poorly understand how heat is transfered into motion it is hard to perdict were these storms will go.
-------------------- "I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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